Ricardo Nunez vs Jadier Herrera

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2026-01-10

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Nunez vs Herrera 10 Jan 2026 Result: Montero Historical Pick 81.82% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jadier Montero (TKO)

Model pick Jadier Herrera 81.82%

Prediction result Correct

Nunez odds 9.5000

Herrera odds 1.0714

Nunez implied 10.53%

Herrera implied 93.34%

Pick odds 1.0714

Pick implied 93.34%

Expected return 0.8766

ROI -12.34%

Edge -11.52%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:53:26 UTC

Fighter details

Ricardo Nunez

Score 43.72 · 26-8-0 (22 KO)

Full name Ricardo Núñez

Age N/A · Rank #461 · Confidence Medium 0.544

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 168cm · PA

Jadier Herrera

Score 62.79 · 18-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Jadier Herrera Montero

Age 23 · Rank #255 · Confidence Low 0.494

Stance Southpaw · H/R 180cm / N/A · CU

Ricardo Nunez

Full name: Ricardo Núñez
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #461
Current model score: 43.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.544
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 168cm
Nationality: PA
Career snapshot: 26-8-0 (22 KO)

10 Jan 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Montero

Historical

18% Nunez

82% Herrera

Fight result: Jadier Montero (TKO)
Model pick: Jadier Herrera 81.82%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 81.82%
Market odds: 1.0714
Implied probability: 93.34%
Expected ROI (1u): -12.34%
Value edge: -11.52%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:53:26 UTC

Jadier Herrera

Full name: Jadier Herrera Montero
Age: 23
Fighter rank: #255
Current model score: 62.79
Fighter confidence: Low 0.494
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 180cm / N/A
Nationality: CU
Career snapshot: 18-0-0 (16 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.9 Nunez Confidence High 0.790

75.2 Herrera Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

44.2 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.520

80.2 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

44.5 Nunez Confidence Low 0.430

72.4 Herrera Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

57.7 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.580

71.9 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

44.2 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.560

70.6 Herrera Confidence Low 0.380

Distance Footwork Control

43.9 Nunez Confidence Low 0.490

68.9 Herrera Confidence Low 0.390

Ring Iq Adaptability

43.3 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.500

69.2 Herrera Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Punching

43.3 Nunez Confidence Low 0.390

71.8 Herrera Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

42.2 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.630

65.8 Herrera Confidence Low 0.310

Cardio Engine

48.8 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.620

74.3 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Nunez: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Herrera: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Nunez Confidence Low 0.490

14.0 Herrera Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

12.0 Nunez Confidence Low 0.460

8.0 Herrera Confidence Low 0.340

Power Slugger

42.0 Nunez Confidence High 0.760

41.0 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.580

28.0 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

6.0 Nunez Confidence Low 0.270

9.0 Herrera Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Advantage Nunez Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Herrera Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.590

68.0 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Nunez Confidence Medium 0.590

32.0 Herrera Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Nunez

100 Herrera

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Nunez

100 Herrera

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Nunez

33.33 Herrera

Opponent Rating Last 3

68.53 Nunez

52.96 Herrera

Trend Score Last 5

60 Nunez

100 Herrera

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

57.41 Nunez

100 Herrera

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

35.19 Nunez

100 Herrera

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Nunez

33.33 Herrera

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.53 Nunez

52.96 Herrera

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Nunez

100 Herrera

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nunez stays in class.

Herrera stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Nunez reach: 168.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Herrera reach: N/A height: 180.0cm delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Nunez advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Herrera advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Herrera.

Advantage: Herrera

Style Interaction

Nunez style: Power Slugger

Herrera style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral