Lucas Bahdi vs Ashton Sylve

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2024-07-20

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bahdi vs Sylve 20 Jul 2024 Result: Bahdi Historical Pick 53.98% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Lucas Bahdi (KO)

Model pick Lucas Bahdi 53.98%

Prediction result Correct

Bahdi odds 3.7500

Sylve odds 1.3333

Bahdi implied 26.67%

Sylve implied 75.00%

Pick odds 3.75

Pick implied 26.67%

Expected return 2.0243

ROI 102.43%

Edge 27.31%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:11:58 UTC

Fighter details

Lucas Bahdi

Score 68.84 · 20-0-0 (15 KO)

Full name Lucas Bahdi

Age 32 · Rank #139 · Confidence Medium 0.554

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / N/A · CA

Ashton Sylve

Score 60.98 · 13-1-0 (10 KO)

Full name Ashton Sylve

Age 22 · Rank #319 · Confidence Medium 0.521

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

Lucas Bahdi

Full name: Lucas Bahdi
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #139
Current model score: 68.84
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.554
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / N/A
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 20-0-0 (15 KO)

20 Jul 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Bahdi

Historical

54% Bahdi

46% Sylve

Fight result: Lucas Bahdi (KO)
Model pick: Lucas Bahdi 53.98%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 53.98%
Market odds: 3.75
Implied probability: 26.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 102.43%
Value edge: 27.31%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:11:58 UTC

Ashton Sylve

Full name: Ashton Sylve
Age: 22
Fighter rank: #319
Current model score: 60.98
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.521
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 13-1-0 (10 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Bahdi Confidence High 0.780

82.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

78.5 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

81.8 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.550

76.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.450

Pace Pressure

76.4 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.570

68.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

74.0 Bahdi Confidence Low 0.460

62.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

73.5 Bahdi Confidence Low 0.480

67.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.6 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.560

66.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

75.6 Bahdi Confidence Low 0.430

63.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

74.6 Bahdi Confidence Low 0.420

54.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.650

Cardio Engine

82.9 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Bahdi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Sylve: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Bahdi Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.340

Out Boxer

18.0 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.580

18.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

28.0 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.700

23.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.730

37.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

6.0 Bahdi Confidence Very Low 0.240

10.0 Sylve Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Advantage Bahdi Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Sylve Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.610

68.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Bahdi Confidence Medium 0.610

32.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Bahdi

66.67 Sylve

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Bahdi

33.33 Sylve

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Bahdi

66.67 Sylve

Opponent Rating Last 3

57.93 Bahdi

57.99 Sylve

Trend Score Last 5

100 Bahdi

80 Sylve

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Bahdi

83.33 Sylve

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

44.12 Bahdi

57.58 Sylve

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Bahdi

66.67 Sylve

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.93 Bahdi

57.99 Sylve

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Bahdi

90 Sylve

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Bahdi stays in class.

Sylve stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Bahdi height: 175.0cm reach: N/A

Sylve height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Bahdi vs orthodox: 42.0

Sylve vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Sylve.

Advantage: Sylve

Style Interaction

Bahdi style: Boxer Puncher

Sylve style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral