Isaac Cruz vs Gervonta Davis

Data as of: 2026-04-18 08:14:51 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Cruz vs Davis 05 Dec 2021 Winner: Davis 76.90% ROI: -15.00% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Cruz odds 9.0000

Davis odds 1.1053

Cruz implied 11.11%

Davis implied 90.47%

Pick odds 1.1053

Pick implied 90.47%

Expected return 0.8500

ROI -15.00%

Edge -13.57%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 13:03:15 UTC

Fighter details

Isaac Cruz

Score 74.09 · 28-3-2 (18 KO)

Age 27 · Rank #59 · Confidence Medium 0.688

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 161cm · MX

Gervonta Davis

Score 85.15 · 30-0-1 (28 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 171cm · US

Isaac Cruz

Age: 27
Fighter rank: #59
Current model score: 74.09
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.688
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 163cm / 161cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 28-3-2 (18 KO)

05 Dec 2021

Projected Win Split

Winner

Davis

23% Cruz

77% Davis

Win probability: 76.90%
Market odds: 1.1053
Implied probability: 90.47%
Expected ROI (1u): -15.00%
Value edge: -13.57%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 13:03:15 UTC

Gervonta Davis

Age: 31
Fighter rank: #4
Current model score: 85.15
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.701
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 30-0-1 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.3 Cruz Confidence High 0.790

97.3 Davis Confidence High 0.930

Punching Accuracy

73.8 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.640

95.6 Davis Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

83.7 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.670

95.2 Davis Confidence Medium 0.730

Pace Pressure

95.2 Cruz Confidence High 0.830

78.2 Davis Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

77.1 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.610

93.8 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

70.8 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.580

93.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.4 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.620

93.2 Davis Confidence High 0.760

Counter Punching

77.8 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.560

96.9 Davis Confidence High 0.810

Chin

96.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.770

88.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

90.8 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.740

83.3 Davis Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Cruz: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger vs Davis: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

50.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.810

8.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

6.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.740

7.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

22.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.760

43.0 Davis Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

18.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

4.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.670

18.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.600

Stance Advantage Cruz Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Davis Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.640

62.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

0 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

65.29 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

74.49 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

90 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.67 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

83.33 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

79.76 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

0 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

65.29 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

74.49 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

79.38 Cruz Confidence High 1.000

95 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cruz stays in class.

Davis moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Cruz.

Advantage: Cruz

Reach vs Height Delta

Cruz reach: 161.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Davis reach: 171.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Davis.

Advantage: Davis

Stance Interaction

Cruz advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Davis advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Davis

Style Interaction

Cruz style: Pressure Swarmer

Davis style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Davis.

Advantage: Davis