OShaquie Foster vs Robson Conceição

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2024-11-02

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Foster vs Conceição 02 Nov 2024 Result: Foster Historical Pick 66.46% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result O'Shaquie Foster (S D)

Model pick OShaquie Foster 66.46%

Prediction result Correct

Foster odds 1.2632

Conceição odds 5.0000

Foster implied 79.16%

Conceição implied 20.00%

Pick odds 1.2632

Pick implied 79.16%

Expected return 0.8395

ROI -16.05%

Edge -12.70%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:48 UTC

Fighter details

OShaquie Foster

Score 79.22 · 24-3-0 (12 KO)

Full name O'Shaquie Dominique Williams Foster

Age 32 · Rank #19 · Confidence Medium 0.691

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · US

Robson Conceição

Score 71.61 · 19-3-1 (9 KO)

Full name Robson Donato Conceição

Age 37 · Rank #104 · Confidence Medium 0.663

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 178cm · BR

OShaquie Foster

Full name: O'Shaquie Dominique Williams Foster
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #19
Current model score: 79.22
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.691
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 174cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 24-3-0 (12 KO)

02 Nov 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Foster

Historical

66% Foster

34% Conceição

Fight result: O'Shaquie Foster (S D)
Model pick: OShaquie Foster 66.46%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 66.46%
Market odds: 1.2632
Implied probability: 79.16%
Expected ROI (1u): -16.05%
Value edge: -12.70%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:48 UTC

Robson Conceição

Full name: Robson Donato Conceição
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #104
Current model score: 71.61
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.663
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / 178cm
Nationality: BR
Career snapshot: 19-3-1 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.1 Foster Confidence High 0.770

52.2 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

89.2 Foster Confidence Medium 0.690

76.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.730

Hand Speed

92.1 Foster Confidence Medium 0.630

81.5 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.740

Pace Pressure

70.5 Foster Confidence Medium 0.660

64.7 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

92.3 Foster Confidence High 0.780

85.4 Conceição Confidence High 0.750

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Foster Confidence High 0.770

86.5 Conceição Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Foster Confidence High 0.800

84.4 Conceição Confidence High 0.770

Counter Punching

92.1 Foster Confidence Medium 0.680

80.8 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.690

Chin

90.2 Foster Confidence Medium 0.620

84.9 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.710

Cardio Engine

87.9 Foster Confidence High 0.790

76.9 Conceição Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Foster: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Conceição: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Foster Confidence Low 0.480

14.0 Conceição Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

34.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.730

33.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.670

Power Slugger

11.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.580

10.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

27.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.690

30.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Puncher

18.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.610

13.0 Conceição Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Advantage Foster Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Conceição Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.730

42.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.730

58.0 Conceição Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Foster

66.67 Conceição

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Foster

33.33 Conceição

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Foster

0 Conceição

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.97 Foster

65.53 Conceição

Trend Score Last 5

80 Foster

56.25 Conceição

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.17 Foster

75.83 Conceição

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

25 Foster

36.67 Conceição

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Foster

0 Conceição

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.97 Foster

65.53 Conceição

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Foster

68.13 Conceição

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Foster moves down 2 classes.

Conceição moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Conceição.

Advantage: Conceição

Height Reach Delta

Foster height: 174.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Conceição height: 179.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Foster vs orthodox: 68.0

Conceição vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Foster.

Advantage: Foster (Foster +26.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Foster style: Out Boxer

Conceição style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral