OShaquie Foster vs Abraham Nova

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2024-02-16

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Foster vs Nova 16 Feb 2024 Result: Foster Historical Pick 90.01% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result O'Shaquie Foster (S D)

Model pick OShaquie Foster 90.01%

Prediction result Correct

Foster odds 1.1538

Nova odds 6.9000

Foster implied 86.67%

Nova implied 14.49%

Pick odds 1.1538

Pick implied 86.67%

Expected return 1.0385

ROI 3.85%

Edge 3.34%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:58:33 UTC

Fighter details

OShaquie Foster

Score 79.66 · 24-3-0 (12 KO)

Full name O'Shaquie Dominique Williams Foster

Age 32 · Rank #19 · Confidence Medium 0.691

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · US

Abraham Nova

Score 46.81 · 24-4-1 (17 KO)

Full name Abraham Nova

Age 32 · Rank #472 · Confidence Medium 0.551

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 183cm · PR

OShaquie Foster

Full name: O'Shaquie Dominique Williams Foster
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #19
Current model score: 79.66
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.691
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 174cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 24-3-0 (12 KO)

16 Feb 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Foster

Historical

90% Foster

10% Nova

Fight result: O'Shaquie Foster (S D)
Model pick: OShaquie Foster 90.01%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 90.01%
Market odds: 1.1538
Implied probability: 86.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 3.85%
Value edge: 3.34%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:58:33 UTC

Abraham Nova

Full name: Abraham Nova
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #472
Current model score: 46.81
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.551
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 183cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 24-4-1 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.1 Foster Confidence High 0.770

64.4 Nova Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

89.2 Foster Confidence Medium 0.690

47.3 Nova Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

92.1 Foster Confidence Medium 0.630

57.1 Nova Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

70.5 Foster Confidence Medium 0.660

53.1 Nova Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

92.3 Foster Confidence High 0.780

50.2 Nova Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Foster Confidence High 0.770

47.9 Nova Confidence Low 0.490

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Foster Confidence High 0.800

45.9 Nova Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Punching

92.1 Foster Confidence Medium 0.680

47.8 Nova Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

90.2 Foster Confidence Medium 0.620

49.9 Nova Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

87.9 Foster Confidence High 0.790

56.3 Nova Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Foster: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Nova: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Foster Confidence Low 0.480

18.0 Nova Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

34.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.730

16.0 Nova Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

11.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.580

24.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

27.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.690

30.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

18.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.610

12.0 Nova Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Foster Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Nova Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.730

38.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Foster Confidence Medium 0.730

62.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Foster

33.33 Nova

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Foster

33.33 Nova

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Foster

66.67 Nova

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.97 Foster

56.04 Nova

Trend Score Last 5

80 Foster

47.5 Nova

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.17 Foster

60.9 Nova

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

25 Foster

47.44 Nova

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Foster

66.67 Nova

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.97 Foster

56.04 Nova

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Foster

63.75 Nova

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Foster moves down 2 classes.

Nova moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Nova.

Advantage: Nova

Height Reach Delta

Foster height: 174.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Nova height: 175.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Nova.

Advantage: Nova +1.0cm

Stance Interaction

Foster vs orthodox: 68.0

Nova vs orthodox: 38.0

Interaction: medium advantage Foster.

Advantage: Foster (Foster +30.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Foster style: Out Boxer

Nova style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral