OWN YOUR EDGE
Ogawa vs Lee 07 Nov 2026 Model pick: Ogawa Locked prediction 76.21% ROI: -19.03% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Kenichi Ogawa 76.21%

Ogawa odds 1.0625

Lee odds 7.6000

Ogawa implied 94.12%

Lee implied 13.16%

Market odds 1.0625

Implied probability 94.12%

Expected return 0.8097

ROI -19.03%

Edge -17.91%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-11-06 07:41:38 UTC

Fighter details
KO
Kenichi Ogawa

Score 61.71 · 31-2-1 (22 KO)

Full name Kenichi Ogawa

Age 38 · Rank #418 · Confidence Medium 0.597

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · JP

JL
Jae Lee

Score 49.93 · 8-3-1 (7 KO)

Full name Jae Woo Lee

Age N/A · Rank #865 · Confidence Low 0.395

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 170cm · KR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Ogawa Confidence High 0.790

76.0 Lee Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

70.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.560

60.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.340

Hand Speed

68.0 Ogawa Confidence Low 0.470

57.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.260

Pace Pressure

72.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.580

64.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.420

Defensive Skill

60.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.610

53.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.300

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.520

55.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.280

Ring IQ Adaptability

71.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.620

58.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.350

Counter Punching

64.0 Ogawa Confidence Low 0.440

54.0 Lee Confidence Very Low 0.240

Chin

58.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.650

61.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.390

Cardio Engine

73.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.630

66.0 Lee Confidence Medium 0.510

Style Profile Ogawa: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Lee: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.530

18.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.380

Out-Boxer

16.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.620

8.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.270

Power Slugger

30.0 Ogawa Confidence High 0.770

42.0 Lee Confidence Medium 0.670

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.740

24.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.460

Counter-Puncher

6.0 Ogawa Confidence Low 0.320

8.0 Lee Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Ogawa vs orthodox  ·  Lee vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.650

66.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.440

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Ogawa Confidence Medium 0.650

34.0 Lee Confidence Low 0.440

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Ogawa

33.33 Lee

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Ogawa

33.33 Lee

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Ogawa

0 Lee

Opponent Rating Last 3

44 Ogawa

58.33 Lee

Trend Score Last 5

100 Ogawa

70 Lee

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Ogawa

55.56 Lee

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Ogawa

33.33 Lee

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Ogawa

0 Lee

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

46.46 Ogawa

58.33 Lee

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Ogawa

77.5 Lee

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ogawa stays in class.

Lee moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Ogawa.

Advantage: Ogawa

Height Reach Delta

Ogawa height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Lee height: 168.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Ogawa.

Advantage: Ogawa +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ogawa vs orthodox: 42.0

Lee vs orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: medium advantage Lee.

Advantage: Lee

Style Interaction

Ogawa style: Boxer Puncher

Lee style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Ogawa.

Advantage: Ogawa

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login