Anthony Cacace vs Josh Warrington

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2024-09-21

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Cacace vs Warrington 21 Sep 2024 Result: Cacace Historical Pick 88.82% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Anthony Cacace (U D)

Model pick Anthony Cacace 88.82%

Prediction result Correct

Cacace odds 1.4444

Warrington odds 2.9200

Cacace implied 69.23%

Warrington implied 34.25%

Pick odds 1.4444

Pick implied 69.23%

Expected return 1.2829

ROI 28.29%

Edge 19.59%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:57:05 UTC

Fighter details

Anthony Cacace

Score 76.86 · 25-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Anthony Cacace

Age 37 · Rank #22 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 180cm · IE

WBA Super featherweight

Josh Warrington

Score 49.31 · 32-5-1 (8 KO)

Full name Josh Warrington

Age 35 · Rank #437 · Confidence Medium 0.678

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Anthony Cacace

Full name: Anthony Cacace
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #22
Current model score: 76.86
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.639
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 178cm / 180cm
Nationality: IE
Career snapshot: 25-1-0 (9 KO)

World titles

WBA Super featherweight

21 Sep 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Cacace

Historical

89% Cacace

11% Warrington

Fight result: Anthony Cacace (U D)
Model pick: Anthony Cacace 88.82%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 88.82%
Market odds: 1.4444
Implied probability: 69.23%
Expected ROI (1u): 28.29%
Value edge: 19.59%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:57:05 UTC

Josh Warrington

Full name: Josh Warrington
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #437
Current model score: 49.31
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.678
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 32-5-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

70.2 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.720

43.0 Warrington Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

88.4 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.680

49.7 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

80.3 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.560

56.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

77.7 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.630

85.7 Warrington Confidence High 0.840

Defensive Skill

92.3 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.700

46.5 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

88.3 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.670

56.6 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Cacace Confidence High 0.760

50.8 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

89.5 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.640

41.9 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

89.2 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.580

43.3 Warrington Confidence High 0.780

Cardio Engine

87.9 Cacace Confidence High 0.780

73.1 Warrington Confidence High 0.820

Style Profile Cacace: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Warrington: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Cacace Confidence Low 0.420

52.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.740

Out Boxer

31.0 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.630

12.0 Warrington Confidence Low 0.430

Power Slugger

8.0 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.700

8.0 Warrington Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

37.0 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.710

21.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

10.0 Cacace Confidence Low 0.280

7.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.510

Stance Advantage Cacace Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Warrington Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.700

62.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Cacace Confidence Medium 0.700

38.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Cacace

33.33 Warrington

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Cacace

0 Warrington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Cacace

66.67 Warrington

Opponent Rating Last 3

71.41 Cacace

67.02 Warrington

Trend Score Last 5

100 Cacace

40 Warrington

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Cacace

60.95 Warrington

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

34.06 Cacace

11.43 Warrington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Cacace

66.67 Warrington

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.41 Cacace

67.02 Warrington

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Cacace

55 Warrington

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cacace moves down 1 classes.

Warrington stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Warrington.

Advantage: Warrington

Reach vs Height Delta

Cacace reach: 180.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Warrington reach: 170.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Cacace.

Advantage: Cacace

Stance Interaction

Cacace advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Warrington advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Cacace.

Advantage: Cacace

Style Interaction

Cacace style: Boxer Puncher

Warrington style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral