Masanori Rikiishi vs Eduardo Núñez

Data as of: 2026-05-14 01:13:22 UTC Historical As-of 2025-05-28

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Rikiishi vs Núñez 28 May 2025 Result: Navarro Historical Pick 50.51% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result José Navarro (U D)

Model pick Eduardo Núñez 50.51%

Prediction result Correct

Rikiishi odds 3.0500

Núñez odds 1.4444

Rikiishi implied 32.79%

Núñez implied 69.23%

Pick odds 1.4444

Pick implied 69.23%

Expected return 0.7296

ROI -27.04%

Edge -18.72%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:15 UTC

Fighter details

Masanori Rikiishi

Score 60.03 · 16-2-0 (11 KO)

Full name Masanori Rikiishi

Age 31 · Rank #335 · Confidence Medium 0.527

Stance Southpaw · H/R 177cm / 182cm · JP

Eduardo Núñez

Score 66.37 · 29-2-0 (27 KO)

Full name José Eduardo Núñez Navarro

Age 28 · Rank #175 · Confidence Medium 0.552

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 173cm · MX

Masanori Rikiishi

Full name: Masanori Rikiishi
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #335
Current model score: 60.03
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.527
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 177cm / 182cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 16-2-0 (11 KO)

28 May 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Navarro

Historical

49% Rikiishi

51% Núñez

Fight result: José Navarro (U D)
Model pick: Eduardo Núñez 50.51%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 50.51%
Market odds: 1.4444
Implied probability: 69.23%
Expected ROI (1u): -27.04%
Value edge: -18.72%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:15 UTC

Eduardo Núñez

Full name: José Eduardo Núñez Navarro
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #175
Current model score: 66.37
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.552
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 29-2-0 (27 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.740

94.8 Núñez Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

62.5 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.520

78.2 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

58.0 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.410

72.3 Núñez Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

75.3 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.620

92.5 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

62.7 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.480

65.6 Núñez Confidence Low 0.450

Distance Footwork Control

65.0 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.460

66.7 Núñez Confidence Low 0.440

Ring Iq Adaptability

69.2 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.580

65.5 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

63.7 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.370

67.5 Núñez Confidence Low 0.380

Chin

60.7 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.550

71.8 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

74.2 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.690

77.1 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Rikiishi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Núñez: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.420

22.0 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.540

Out Boxer

16.0 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.480

10.0 Núñez Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

24.0 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.660

24.0 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

12.0 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.270

6.0 Núñez Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Advantage Rikiishi Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Núñez Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Rikiishi Confidence Medium 0.700

42.0 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Rikiishi Confidence Low 0.380

58.0 Núñez Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Rikiishi

66.67 Núñez

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Rikiishi

0 Núñez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Rikiishi

100 Núñez

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.9 Rikiishi

73.99 Núñez

Trend Score Last 5

80 Rikiishi

80 Núñez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80 Rikiishi

81.55 Núñez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Rikiishi

48.21 Núñez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Rikiishi

100 Núñez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.9 Rikiishi

73.99 Núñez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Rikiishi

90 Núñez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rikiishi moves down 1 classes.

Núñez moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Rikiishi reach: 182.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Núñez reach: 173.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Rikiishi advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Núñez advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Rikiishi.

Advantage: Rikiishi

Style Interaction

Rikiishi style: Boxer Puncher

Núñez style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Rikiishi.

Advantage: Rikiishi