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Nova vs Ford 16 Aug 2025 Result: Ford Historical Pick 80.95% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Raymond Ford (U D)

Model pick Ray Ford 80.95%

Prediction result Correct

Nova odds 7.2000

Ford odds 1.1110

Nova implied 13.89%

Ford implied 90.01%

Pick odds 1.111

Pick implied 90.01%

Expected return 0.8993

ROI -10.07%

Edge -9.06%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:54:40 UTC

Fighter details
AN
Abraham Nova

Score 46.21 · 24-4-1 (17 KO)

Full name Abraham Nova

Age 32 · Rank #455 · Confidence Medium 0.551

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 183cm · PR

Ray Ford
Ray Ford

Score 71.12 · 18-1-1 (8 KO)

Full name Raymond Ford

Age 27 · Rank #83 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 175cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

64.4 Nova Confidence Medium 0.730

72.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

47.3 Nova Confidence Medium 0.550

78.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

57.1 Nova Confidence Low 0.460

81.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

53.1 Nova Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

50.2 Nova Confidence Medium 0.560

79.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

47.9 Nova Confidence Low 0.490

82.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

45.9 Nova Confidence Medium 0.520

84.0 Ford Confidence High 0.750

Counter Punching

47.8 Nova Confidence Low 0.400

80.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.660

Chin

49.9 Nova Confidence Medium 0.670

76.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

56.3 Nova Confidence Medium 0.640

83.0 Ford Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Nova: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Ford: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Nova Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Ford Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

16.0 Nova Confidence Low 0.460

31.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

24.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.620

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.660

37.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

12.0 Nova Confidence Low 0.300

12.0 Ford Confidence Low 0.400

Stance Advantage Nova Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Ford Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

38.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

62.0 Nova Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Ford Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Nova

100 Ford

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Nova

0 Ford

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Nova

33.33 Ford

Opponent Rating Last 3

56.04 Nova

61.8 Ford

Trend Score Last 5

47.5 Nova

85 Ford

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

60.9 Nova

100 Ford

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.44 Nova

23.53 Ford

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Nova

33.33 Ford

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.04 Nova

61.8 Ford

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

63.75 Nova

92.5 Ford

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nova stays in class.

Ford stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Nova reach: 183.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Ford reach: 175.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Nova.

Advantage: Nova

Stance Interaction

Nova advantage against southpaw: 62.0

Ford advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Nova style: Boxer Puncher

Ford style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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