Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov vs Cristian Chacón

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Yaqubov vs Chacón 29 Nov 2025 Model lean: Yaqubov Custom 98.15% ROI: 11.23% Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov 98.15%

Yaqubov odds 1.1333

Chacón odds 7.0000

Yaqubov implied 88.24%

Chacón implied 14.29%

Pick odds 1.1333

Pick implied 88.24%

Expected return 1.1123

ROI 11.23%

Edge 9.91%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:08:55 UTC

Fighter details

Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov

Score 64.79 · 23-1-1 (12 KO)

Full name Muhammadkhuja Iskandarovich Yaqubov

Age 31 · Rank #206 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / N/A · N/A

Cristian Chacón

Score 0.00 · 24-7-2 (12 KO)

Full name Cristian Jesus Cruz Chacón

Age N/A · Rank #603 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 169cm · MX

Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov

Full name: Muhammadkhuja Iskandarovich Yaqubov
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #206
Current model score: 64.79
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.567
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 165cm / N/A
Nationality: N/A
Career snapshot: 23-1-1 (12 KO)

29 Nov 2025

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Yaqubov

Custom

98% Yaqubov

2% Chacón

Model lean: Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov 98.15%
Win probability: 98.15%
Market odds: 1.1333
Implied probability: 88.24%
Expected ROI (1u): 11.23%
Value edge: 9.91%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:08:55 UTC

Cristian Chacón

Full name: Cristian Jesus Cruz Chacón
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #603
Current model score: 0.00
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 169cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 24-7-2 (12 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

67.7 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.670

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

69.1 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

73.7 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.520

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

68.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

77.2 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.600

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

70.1 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.540

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

71.3 Yaqubov Confidence Low 0.470

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Chin

85.9 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.610

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

81.9 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.720

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Style Profile Yaqubov: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Chacón: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Yaqubov Confidence Low 0.440

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

20.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.550

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

16.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.500

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

12.0 Yaqubov Confidence Low 0.310

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Yaqubov Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Chacón Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.640

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Yaqubov Confidence Medium 0.640

N/A Chacón Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Yaqubov

33.33 Chacón

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Yaqubov

0 Chacón

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Yaqubov

0 Chacón

Opponent Rating Last 3

50 Yaqubov

54 Chacón

Trend Score Last 5

90 Yaqubov

40 Chacón

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.06 Yaqubov

55 Chacón

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Yaqubov

0 Chacón

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Yaqubov

0 Chacón

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.43 Yaqubov

54 Chacón

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Yaqubov

60 Chacón

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Yaqubov stays in class.

Chacón moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Yaqubov.

Advantage: Yaqubov

Height Reach Delta

Yaqubov height: 165.0cm reach: N/A

Chacón height: 166.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Yaqubov vs orthodox: 68.0

Chacón vs southpaw: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Yaqubov style: Boxer Puncher

Chacón style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral