Leigh Wood vs Mauricio Lara

Data as of: 2026-06-02 04:00:03 UTC Historical As-of 2023-05-27

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Wood vs Lara 27 May 2023 Result: Wood Historical Pick 50.51% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Leigh Wood (U D)

Model pick Mauricio Lara 50.51%

Prediction result Incorrect

Wood odds 3.4000

Lara odds 1.4000

Wood implied 29.41%

Lara implied 71.43%

Pick odds 1.4

Pick implied 71.43%

Expected return 0.7072

ROI -29.28%

Edge -20.92%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:00:07 UTC

Fighter details

Leigh Wood

Score 65.62 · 29-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Leigh Wood

Age 37 · Rank #189 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Mauricio Lara

Score 66.95 · 28-3-2 (21 KO)

Full name Mauricio Lara Acosta

Age 28 · Rank #232 · Confidence Medium 0.631

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · MX

Leigh Wood

Full name: Leigh Wood
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #189
Current model score: 65.62
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.661
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 29-4-0 (17 KO)

27 May 2023

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Wood

Historical

49% Wood

51% Lara

Fight result: Leigh Wood (U D)
Model pick: Mauricio Lara 50.51%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 50.51%
Market odds: 1.4
Implied probability: 71.43%
Expected ROI (1u): -29.28%
Value edge: -20.92%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:00:07 UTC

Mauricio Lara

Full name: Mauricio Lara Acosta
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #232
Current model score: 66.95
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.631
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 28-3-2 (21 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

71.6 Wood Confidence High 0.790

91.1 Lara Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

68.4 Wood Confidence Medium 0.620

74.9 Lara Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

68.3 Wood Confidence Medium 0.560

79.9 Lara Confidence Medium 0.560

Pace Pressure

82.2 Wood Confidence High 0.760

92.0 Lara Confidence High 0.760

Defensive Skill

69.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.680

63.3 Lara Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.630

64.3 Lara Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.4 Wood Confidence High 0.750

58.9 Lara Confidence Medium 0.570

Counter Punching

71.1 Wood Confidence Medium 0.550

77.3 Lara Confidence Medium 0.530

Chin

65.2 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

71.6 Lara Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

81.7 Wood Confidence High 0.780

64.9 Lara Confidence Medium 0.580

Style Profile Wood: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Lara: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.590

34.0 Lara Confidence Medium 0.720

Out Boxer

20.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.630

4.0 Lara Confidence High 0.780

Power Slugger

14.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.560

38.0 Lara Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.740

18.0 Lara Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

14.0 Wood Confidence Low 0.430

6.0 Lara Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Wood Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Lara Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Lara Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

28.0 Lara Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Wood

66.67 Lara

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Wood

66.67 Lara

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Wood

0 Lara

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.88 Wood

49.67 Lara

Trend Score Last 5

60 Wood

77.5 Lara

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.33 Wood

76.67 Lara

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.33 Wood

66.67 Lara

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Wood

0 Lara

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.88 Wood

49.67 Lara

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

72.5 Wood

83.75 Lara

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wood moves down 1 class.

Lara stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Lara.

Advantage: Lara

Height Reach Delta

Wood height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Lara height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Wood vs orthodox: 68.0

Lara vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Wood style: Boxer Puncher

Lara style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Wood.

Advantage: Wood