Leigh Wood vs Michael Conlan

Data as of: 2026-06-02 04:00:03 UTC Historical As-of 2022-03-12

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Wood vs Conlan 12 Mar 2022 Result: Wood Historical Pick 61.54% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Leigh Wood (TKO)

Model pick Michael Conlan 61.54%

Prediction result Incorrect

Wood odds 2.6200

Conlan odds 1.6250

Wood implied 38.17%

Conlan implied 61.54%

Pick odds 1.625

Pick implied 61.54%

Expected return 1.0000

ROI 0.00%

Edge 0.00%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:02:44 UTC

Fighter details

Leigh Wood

Score 65.78 · 29-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Leigh Wood

Age 37 · Rank #189 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Michael Conlan

Score 60.60 · 20-4-0 (10 KO)

Full name Michael John Conlan

Age 34 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 175cm · IE

Leigh Wood

Full name: Leigh Wood
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #189
Current model score: 65.78
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.661
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 29-4-0 (17 KO)

12 Mar 2022

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Wood

Historical

38% Wood

62% Conlan

Fight result: Leigh Wood (TKO)
Model pick: Michael Conlan 61.54%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 61.54%
Market odds: 1.625
Implied probability: 61.54%
Expected ROI (1u): 0.00%
Value edge: 0.00%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:02:44 UTC

Michael Conlan

Full name: Michael John Conlan
Age: 34
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 60.60
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 175cm
Nationality: IE
Career snapshot: 20-4-0 (10 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

71.6 Wood Confidence High 0.790

49.9 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

68.4 Wood Confidence Medium 0.620

67.3 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

68.3 Wood Confidence Medium 0.560

77.0 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.700

Pace Pressure

82.2 Wood Confidence High 0.760

49.4 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

69.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.680

70.1 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.630

76.8 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.4 Wood Confidence High 0.750

68.6 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

71.1 Wood Confidence Medium 0.550

80.1 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.690

Chin

65.2 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

47.6 Conlan Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

81.7 Wood Confidence High 0.780

56.0 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Wood: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Conlan: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.590

12.0 Conlan Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

20.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.630

31.0 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

14.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.560

10.0 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.610

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.740

35.0 Conlan Confidence High 0.780

Counter Puncher

14.0 Wood Confidence Low 0.430

12.0 Conlan Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Advantage Wood Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Conlan Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

42.0 Conlan Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Wood

66.67 Conlan

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Wood

33.33 Conlan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Wood

66.67 Conlan

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.88 Wood

56 Conlan

Trend Score Last 5

60 Wood

55 Conlan

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.33 Wood

76.19 Conlan

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.33 Wood

38.1 Conlan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Wood

66.67 Conlan

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.88 Wood

56 Conlan

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

72.5 Wood

67.5 Conlan

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wood moves down 1 class.

Conlan stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Conlan.

Advantage: Conlan

Height Reach Delta

Wood height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Conlan height: 173.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Conlan.

Advantage: Conlan +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Wood vs southpaw: 32.0

Conlan vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Conlan.

Advantage: Conlan

Style Interaction

Wood style: Boxer Puncher

Conlan style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral