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Suarez vs Avila 18 Jul 2026 Model pick: Suarez Locked prediction 83.71% ROI: -12.10% Super featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Charly Suarez 83.71%

Suarez odds 1.0500

Avila odds 9.5000

Suarez implied 95.24%

Avila implied 10.53%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.8790

ROI -12.10%

Edge -11.53%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-17 01:09:00 UTC

Fighter details
Charly Suarez
Charly Suarez

Score 69.45 · 18-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Charly Coronel Suarez

Age 37 · Rank #104 · Confidence Medium 0.560

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 188cm · PH

MA
Manuel Avila

Score 59.18 · 7-2-1 (0 KO)

Full name Manuel Avila

Age 34 · Rank #426 · Confidence Medium 0.605

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.690

61.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

80.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.630

69.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

76.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.520

70.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

74.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.580

67.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

79.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.660

64.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

83.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.710

68.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring IQ Adaptability

84.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.730

71.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

78.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.560

65.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

75.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.420

58.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

81.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Suarez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Avila: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Avila Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

28.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.530

34.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

14.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Avila Confidence High 0.750

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Avila Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Suarez vs orthodox  ·  Avila vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.570

44.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.570

56.0 Avila Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Suarez

66.67 Avila

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Suarez

66.67 Avila

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Suarez

0 Avila

Opponent Rating Last 3

50 Suarez

53.16 Avila

Trend Score Last 5

100 Suarez

73.75 Avila

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Suarez

77.08 Avila

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

53.33 Suarez

66.67 Avila

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Suarez

0 Avila

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50 Suarez

53.16 Avila

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Suarez

76.88 Avila

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Suarez stays in class.

Avila moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Suarez.

Advantage: Suarez

Height Reach Delta

Suarez height: 168.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Avila height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Suarez.

Advantage: Suarez +23.0cm

Stance Interaction

Suarez vs orthodox: 42.0

Avila vs orthodox: 44.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Suarez style: Boxer Puncher

Avila style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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