Emanuel Navarrete vs Joet Gonzalez

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2021-10-15

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Navarrete vs Gonzalez 15 Oct 2021 Result: Martínez Historical Pick 68.55% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Emanuel Martínez (U D)

Model pick Emanuel Navarrete 68.55%

Prediction result Correct

Navarrete odds 1.2500

Gonzalez odds 4.8000

Navarrete implied 80.00%

Gonzalez implied 20.83%

Pick odds 1.25

Pick implied 80.00%

Expected return 0.8569

ROI -14.31%

Edge -11.45%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:03:34 UTC

Fighter details

Emanuel Navarrete

Score 76.62 · 40-2-1 (33 KO)

Full name Emanuel Navarrete Martínez

Age 31 · Rank #30 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 183cm · MX

IBF Super featherweight WBO Super featherweight

Joet Gonzalez

Score 64.62 · 27-5-0 (15 KO)

Full name Joet De Jesus Gonzalez

Age 32 · Rank #231 · Confidence Medium 0.605

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 178cm · US

Emanuel Navarrete

Full name: Emanuel Navarrete Martínez
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #30
Current model score: 76.62
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 183cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 40-2-1 (33 KO)

World titles

IBF Super featherweight WBO Super featherweight

15 Oct 2021

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Martínez

Historical

69% Navarrete

31% Gonzalez

Fight result: Emanuel Martínez (U D)
Model pick: Emanuel Navarrete 68.55%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 68.55%
Market odds: 1.25
Implied probability: 80.00%
Expected ROI (1u): -14.31%
Value edge: -11.45%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:03:34 UTC

Joet Gonzalez

Full name: Joet De Jesus Gonzalez
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #231
Current model score: 64.62
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.605
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-5-0 (15 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

93.0 Navarrete Confidence High 0.830

57.7 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

79.5 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.660

68.7 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

82.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.610

71.3 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

97.3 Navarrete Confidence High 0.840

82.4 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.770

Defensive Skill

75.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.630

70.3 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

77.9 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.620

69.1 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.1 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.700

70.1 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

77.6 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.570

65.9 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.520

Chin

85.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.600

91.2 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.790

Cardio Engine

93.3 Navarrete Confidence High 0.760

83.4 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.800

Style Profile Navarrete: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Gonzalez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

43.0 Navarrete Confidence High 0.760

24.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

12.0 Navarrete Confidence Low 0.480

12.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.330

Power Slugger

18.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

16.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

5.0 Navarrete Confidence Low 0.330

10.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Navarrete Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Gonzalez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

62.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Navarrete

33.33 Gonzalez

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Navarrete

0 Gonzalez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Navarrete

33.33 Gonzalez

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.36 Navarrete

77.19 Gonzalez

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Navarrete

40 Gonzalez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Navarrete

61.49 Gonzalez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

72.08 Navarrete

25.86 Gonzalez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Navarrete

33.33 Gonzalez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.36 Navarrete

77.19 Gonzalez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.88 Navarrete

50 Gonzalez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Navarrete moves down 1 classes.

Gonzalez stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Gonzalez.

Advantage: Gonzalez

Reach vs Height Delta

Navarrete reach: 183.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: 13.0cm

Gonzalez reach: 178.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Navarrete.

Advantage: Navarrete

Stance Interaction

Navarrete advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Gonzalez advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Navarrete style: Pressure Swarmer

Gonzalez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral