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Valdez vs Wilson 29 Mar 2024 Result: Fierro Historical Pick 71.71% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Óscar Fierro (TKO)

Model pick Óscar Valdez 71.71%

Prediction result Correct

Valdez odds 1.2899

Wilson odds 4.0000

Valdez implied 77.53%

Wilson implied 25.00%

Pick odds 1.2899

Pick implied 77.53%

Expected return 0.9250

ROI -7.50%

Edge -5.82%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:58:15 UTC

Fighter details
Óscar Valdez
Óscar Valdez

Score 69.13 · 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Full name Óscar Rafael Valdez Fierro Jr.

Age 35 · Rank #109 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 168cm · MX

LW
Liam Wilson

Score 58.03 · 18-3-0 (9 KO)

Full name Liam Wilson

Age 30 · Rank #272 · Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Orthodox · H/R 176cm / 178cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.7 Valdez Confidence High 0.790

77.4 Wilson Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

73.7 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.670

65.2 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

80.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.690

68.9 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

85.9 Valdez Confidence High 0.780

74.7 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

73.4 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.740

63.9 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

71.9 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.660

65.5 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.2 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

63.1 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

79.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

69.6 Wilson Confidence Low 0.460

Chin

77.8 Valdez Confidence High 0.760

71.1 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

76.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.750

66.5 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Valdez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Wilson: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

18.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.470

Out Boxer

8.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.600

14.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

18.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

20.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.530

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.800

34.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

12.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.620

14.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Advantage Valdez Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Wilson Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Valdez

100 Wilson

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Valdez

66.67 Wilson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Valdez

100 Wilson

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.62 Valdez

47.98 Wilson

Trend Score Last 5

60 Valdez

100 Wilson

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.3 Valdez

100 Wilson

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.52 Valdez

66.67 Wilson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Valdez

100 Wilson

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.62 Valdez

52.4 Wilson

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Valdez

100 Wilson

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Valdez moves down 1 classes.

Wilson moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Valdez reach: 168.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Wilson reach: 178.0cm height: 176.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Valdez advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Wilson advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Valdez.

Advantage: Valdez

Style Interaction

Valdez style: Boxer Puncher

Wilson style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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