Rey Vargas vs Azat Hovhannisyan

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Featherweight. Change this if needed.

Custom Matchup

Using selected fighters with persisted profile data. Choose matchup weight class before running.

Vargas vs Hovhannisyan Winner: Vargas 71.77% ROI: N/A Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Featherweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Vargas odds N/A

Hovhannisyan odds N/A

Vargas implied N/A

Hovhannisyan implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Rey Vargas

Score 69.30 · 36-1-1 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #81 · Confidence Medium 0.656

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 182cm · MX

Azat Hovhannisyan

Score 56.76 · 24-6-0 (17 KO)

Age 37 · Rank #222 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM

Rey Vargas

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #81
Current model score: 69.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.656
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 182cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 36-1-1 (22 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Vargas

72% Vargas

28% Hovhannisyan

Win probability: 71.77%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Azat Hovhannisyan

Age: 37
Fighter rank: #222
Current model score: 56.76
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.595
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 165cm
Nationality: AM
Career snapshot: 24-6-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Vargas FiteQuant · Hovhannisyan FiteQuant

Punching Power

63.7 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.680

82.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

79.9 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.660

66.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.570

Hand Speed

76.6 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.510

Pace Pressure

64.8 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.620

78.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

89.4 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

92.5 Vargas Confidence High 0.750

60.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.730

64.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

79.6 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.570

55.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

76.2 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.550

61.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

84.1 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.740

72.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile

Vargas: Out Boxer · Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.620

33.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

41.0 Vargas Confidence High 0.830

7.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

10.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.670

28.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

29.0 Vargas Confidence High 0.770

24.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

6.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.450

8.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Advantage

Vargas: Vs Orthodox · Hovhannisyan: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.610

62.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.610

38.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

0 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

100 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.35 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

57.24 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

70 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

70 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

73.72 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

31.43 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

32.69 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

100 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.35 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

57.24 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Vargas Confidence High 1.000

85 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Vargas stays in class.

Hovhannisyan moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Vargas.

Advantage: Vargas

Reach vs Height Delta

Vargas reach: 182.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Hovhannisyan reach: 165.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -3.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Vargas.

Advantage: Vargas

Stance Interaction

Vargas advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Hovhannisyan advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Hovhannisyan

Style Interaction

Vargas style: Out Boxer

Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: medium advantage Hovhannisyan.

Advantage: Hovhannisyan