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Ball vs Figueroa 07 Feb 2026 Result: Figueroa Historical Pick 69.69% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Brandon Figueroa (TKO)

Model pick Brandon Figueroa 69.69%

Prediction result Correct

Ball odds 1.3003

Figueroa odds 3.7800

Ball implied 76.91%

Figueroa implied 26.46%

Pick odds 3.78

Pick implied 26.46%

Expected return 2.6345

ROI 163.45%

Edge 43.24%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:53:09 UTC

Fighter details
NB
Nick Ball

Score 76.32 · 23-1-1 (13 KO)

Full name Nick Ball

Age 29 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.659

Stance Orthodox · H/R 157cm / 165cm · GB

BF
Brandon Figueroa

Score 74.20 · 27-2-1 (20 KO)

Full name Brandon Lee Figueroa

Age 29 · Rank #37 · Confidence Medium 0.632

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 184cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.0 Ball Confidence High 0.760

89.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

80.7 Ball Confidence Medium 0.620

81.4 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

84.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.580

79.3 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.560

Pace Pressure

95.6 Ball Confidence High 0.820

96.6 Figueroa Confidence High 0.820

Defensive Skill

77.9 Ball Confidence Medium 0.580

78.1 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

80.7 Ball Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.5 Ball Confidence Medium 0.700

79.9 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

77.4 Ball Confidence Medium 0.500

73.7 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

81.8 Ball Confidence Medium 0.570

93.5 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.690

Cardio Engine

95.0 Ball Confidence High 0.790

94.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Ball: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Figueroa: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

46.0 Ball Confidence High 0.760

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.720

Out Boxer

8.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

18.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.680

20.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.710

24.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

6.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.580

6.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Advantage Ball Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Figueroa Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.650

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.650

58.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Ball

66.67 Figueroa

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Ball

33.33 Figueroa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Ball

66.67 Figueroa

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.88 Ball

72.92 Figueroa

Trend Score Last 5

80 Ball

80 Figueroa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.06 Ball

79.63 Figueroa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.94 Ball

51.85 Figueroa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Ball

66.67 Figueroa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.88 Ball

72.92 Figueroa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Ball

80 Figueroa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ball stays in class.

Figueroa stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Ball height: 157.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Figueroa height: 175.0cm reach: 184.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Figueroa.

Advantage: Figueroa +37.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ball vs orthodox: 42.0

Figueroa vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Ball style: Pressure Swarmer

Figueroa style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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