OWN YOUR EDGE
Ball vs Goodman 16 Aug 2025 Result: Ball Historical Pick 51.10% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Nick Ball (U D)

Model pick Nick Ball 51.10%

Prediction result Correct

Ball odds 1.2500

Goodman odds 5.0000

Ball implied 80.00%

Goodman implied 20.00%

Pick odds 1.25

Pick implied 80.00%

Expected return 0.6387

ROI -36.13%

Edge -28.90%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:10:11 UTC

Fighter details
NB
Nick Ball

Score 76.36 · 23-1-1 (13 KO)

Full name Nick Ball

Age 29 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.659

Stance Orthodox · H/R 157cm / 165cm · GB

SG
Sam Goodman

Score 67.44 · 22-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Sam Goodman

Age 27 · Rank #138 · Confidence Medium 0.645

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 169cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.0 Ball Confidence High 0.760

58.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

80.7 Ball Confidence Medium 0.620

77.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

84.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

95.6 Ball Confidence High 0.820

66.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

77.9 Ball Confidence Medium 0.580

79.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

80.7 Ball Confidence Medium 0.630

80.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.690

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.5 Ball Confidence Medium 0.700

81.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

77.4 Ball Confidence Medium 0.500

75.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

81.8 Ball Confidence Medium 0.570

72.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

95.0 Ball Confidence High 0.790

83.0 Goodman Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Ball: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Goodman: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

46.0 Ball Confidence High 0.760

12.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.540

Out Boxer

8.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

18.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.680

7.0 Goodman Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.710

31.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

6.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.580

12.0 Goodman Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Advantage Ball Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Goodman Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.650

42.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Ball Confidence Medium 0.650

58.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Ball

66.67 Goodman

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Ball

0 Goodman

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Ball

100 Goodman

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.88 Ball

63.89 Goodman

Trend Score Last 5

80 Ball

80 Goodman

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.06 Ball

83.33 Goodman

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.94 Ball

20 Goodman

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Ball

100 Goodman

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.88 Ball

63.89 Goodman

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Ball

90 Goodman

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ball stays in class.

Goodman moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Ball.

Advantage: Ball

Height Reach Delta

Ball height: 157.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Goodman height: 169.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Goodman.

Advantage: Goodman +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ball vs orthodox: 42.0

Goodman vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Ball style: Pressure Swarmer

Goodman style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Ball.

Advantage: Ball

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login