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Figueroa vs Castro 09 Jul 2022 Result: Figueroa Historical Pick 73.94% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Brandon Figueroa (TKO)

Model pick Brandon Figueroa 73.94%

Prediction result Correct

Figueroa odds 1.1667

Castro odds 6.0000

Figueroa implied 85.71%

Castro implied 16.67%

Pick odds 1.1667

Pick implied 85.71%

Expected return 0.8626

ROI -13.74%

Edge -11.77%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:01:56 UTC

Fighter details
BF
Brandon Figueroa

Score 74.93 · 27-2-1 (20 KO)

Full name Brandon Lee Figueroa

Age 29 · Rank #37 · Confidence Medium 0.632

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 184cm · US

CC
Carlos Castro

Score 58.35 · 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Full name Carlos Alejandro Castro Manriquez

Age 32 · Rank #366 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

89.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.780

56.6 Castro Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

81.4 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.620

66.7 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

79.3 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.560

72.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.550

Pace Pressure

96.6 Figueroa Confidence High 0.820

69.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

78.1 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.680

65.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

64.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.9 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Punching

73.7 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.500

63.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

93.5 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.690

62.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

94.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.770

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.650

Style Profile Figueroa: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Castro: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.720

16.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.380

Out Boxer

8.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.470

24.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

20.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

12.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.500

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

34.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

6.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.380

14.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Figueroa Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Castro Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

62.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Castro

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Figueroa

0 Castro

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Castro

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.92 Figueroa

66.26 Castro

Trend Score Last 5

80 Figueroa

60 Castro

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.63 Figueroa

63.44 Castro

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.85 Figueroa

24.19 Castro

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Castro

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.92 Figueroa

66.26 Castro

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Figueroa

60 Castro

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Figueroa stays in class.

Castro stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Figueroa reach: 184.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 9.0cm

Castro reach: 178.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Figueroa.

Advantage: Figueroa

Stance Interaction

Figueroa advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Castro advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro

Style Interaction

Figueroa style: Pressure Swarmer

Castro style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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