Brandon Figueroa vs Stephen Fulton

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2025-02-01

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Figueroa vs Fulton 01 Feb 2025 Result: Fulton Historical Pick 64.19% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Stephen Fulton (U D)

Model pick Brandon Figueroa 64.19%

Prediction result Incorrect

Figueroa odds 1.4444

Fulton odds 3.4000

Figueroa implied 69.23%

Fulton implied 29.41%

Pick odds 1.4444

Pick implied 69.23%

Expected return 0.9272

ROI -7.28%

Edge -5.04%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:15 UTC

Fighter details

Brandon Figueroa

Score 75.42 · 27-2-1 (20 KO)

Full name Brandon Lee Figueroa

Age 29 · Rank #37 · Confidence Medium 0.632

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 184cm · US

Stephen Fulton

Score 73.29 · 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Full name Stephen Fulton Jr.

Age 31 · Rank #60 · Confidence Medium 0.700

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 179cm · US

Brandon Figueroa

Full name: Brandon Lee Figueroa
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #37
Current model score: 75.42
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.632
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 184cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-2-1 (20 KO)

01 Feb 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Fulton

Historical

64% Figueroa

36% Fulton

Fight result: Stephen Fulton (U D)
Model pick: Brandon Figueroa 64.19%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 64.19%
Market odds: 1.4444
Implied probability: 69.23%
Expected ROI (1u): -7.28%
Value edge: -5.04%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:15 UTC

Stephen Fulton

Full name: Stephen Fulton Jr.
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #60
Current model score: 73.29
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.700
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 179cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

89.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.780

45.3 Fulton Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

81.4 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.620

86.3 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

79.3 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.560

89.2 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

96.6 Figueroa Confidence High 0.820

72.6 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

78.1 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.680

92.3 Fulton Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

90.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.9 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

87.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.790

Counter Punching

73.7 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.500

89.7 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.680

Chin

93.5 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.690

70.9 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

94.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.770

87.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Figueroa: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Fulton: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.720

12.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

8.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.470

39.0 Fulton Confidence High 0.760

Power Slugger

20.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

5.0 Fulton Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

29.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

6.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.380

15.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.560

Stance Advantage Figueroa Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Fulton Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

64.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

36.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Figueroa

66.67 Fulton

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Figueroa

0 Fulton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Fulton

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.92 Figueroa

77.18 Fulton

Trend Score Last 5

80 Figueroa

60 Fulton

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.63 Figueroa

81.06 Fulton

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.85 Figueroa

18.18 Fulton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Fulton

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.92 Figueroa

77.18 Fulton

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Figueroa

80 Fulton

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Figueroa stays in class.

Fulton stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Figueroa height: 175.0cm reach: 184.0cm

Fulton height: 169.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Figueroa.

Advantage: Figueroa +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Figueroa vs orthodox: 42.0

Fulton vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Fulton.

Advantage: Fulton (Fulton +22.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Figueroa style: Pressure Swarmer

Fulton style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Figueroa.

Advantage: Figueroa