Brandon Figueroa vs Luis Nery

Data as of: 2026-06-02 01:13:14 UTC Historical As-of 2021-05-15

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Figueroa vs Nery 15 May 2021 Result: Figueroa Historical Pick 78.94% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Brandon Figueroa (KO)

Model pick Brandon Figueroa 78.94%

Prediction result Correct

Figueroa odds 2.9000

Nery odds 1.4545

Figueroa implied 34.48%

Nery implied 68.75%

Pick odds 2.9

Pick implied 34.48%

Expected return 2.2893

ROI 128.93%

Edge 44.46%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:15:54 UTC

Fighter details

Brandon Figueroa

Score 74.73 · 27-2-1 (20 KO)

Full name Brandon Lee Figueroa

Age 29 · Rank #37 · Confidence Medium 0.632

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 184cm · US

Luis Nery

Score 66.92 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Full name Luis Esteban Nery Hernández

Age 31 · Rank #183 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Brandon Figueroa

Full name: Brandon Lee Figueroa
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #37
Current model score: 74.73
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.632
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 184cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-2-1 (20 KO)

15 May 2021

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Figueroa

Historical

79% Figueroa

21% Nery

Fight result: Brandon Figueroa (KO)
Model pick: Brandon Figueroa 78.94%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 78.94%
Market odds: 2.9
Implied probability: 34.48%
Expected ROI (1u): 128.93%
Value edge: 44.46%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:15:54 UTC

Luis Nery

Full name: Luis Esteban Nery Hernández
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #183
Current model score: 66.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 166cm / 171cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

89.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.780

90.0 Nery Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

81.4 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.620

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

79.3 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.560

82.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

96.6 Figueroa Confidence High 0.820

85.0 Nery Confidence High 0.770

Defensive Skill

78.1 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.680

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

68.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.9 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

70.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

73.7 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.500

71.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

93.5 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.690

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

94.5 Figueroa Confidence High 0.770

74.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Figueroa: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Nery: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.720

28.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

Out Boxer

8.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.470

6.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

20.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.630

34.0 Nery Confidence High 0.870

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.610

24.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

6.0 Figueroa Confidence Low 0.380

8.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Advantage Figueroa Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Nery Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Figueroa Confidence Medium 0.640

42.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Figueroa

66.67 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Figueroa

33.33 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.92 Figueroa

61.4 Nery

Trend Score Last 5

80 Figueroa

80 Nery

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.63 Figueroa

81.94 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.85 Figueroa

54.17 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Figueroa

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.92 Figueroa

61.4 Nery

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Figueroa

80 Nery

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Figueroa moves down 2 classes.

Nery moves down 3 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Figueroa.

Advantage: Figueroa

Height Reach Delta

Figueroa height: 175.0cm reach: 184.0cm

Nery height: 166.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Figueroa.

Advantage: Figueroa +22.0cm

Stance Interaction

Figueroa vs southpaw: 58.0

Nery vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Figueroa style: Pressure Swarmer

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery