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Espinoza vs Khegai 15 Nov 2025 Result: Zepeda Historical Pick 81.64% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Rafael Zepeda (TKO)

Model pick Rafael Espinoza 81.64%

Prediction result Correct

Espinoza odds 1.0600

Khegai odds 12.2000

Espinoza implied 94.34%

Khegai implied 8.20%

Pick odds 1.06

Pick implied 94.34%

Expected return 0.8654

ROI -13.46%

Edge -12.70%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:54:05 UTC

Fighter details
RE
Rafael Espinoza

Score 73.99 · 28-0-0 (24 KO)

Full name Rafael Espinoza Zepeda

Age 32 · Rank #47 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · MX

AK
Arnold Khegai

Score 59.92 · 23-3-1 (14 KO)

Full name Arnold Khegai

Age 34 · Rank #355 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · UA

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Espinoza Confidence High 0.850

63.1 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

82.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.550

65.7 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.590

Hand Speed

74.9 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.450

65.6 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.530

Pace Pressure

89.5 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.720

69.7 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.650

Defensive Skill

73.3 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.400

69.5 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.680

62.4 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.700

64.9 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

78.1 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.420

66.8 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

73.7 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.380

63.9 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.680

Cardio Engine

87.9 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.630

70.4 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Espinoza: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Khegai: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.520

23.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

24.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.720

14.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.360

Power Slugger

26.0 Espinoza Confidence High 0.770

16.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.400

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.740

32.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

4.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.300

15.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Espinoza Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Khegai Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.640

32.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Espinoza

33.33 Khegai

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Espinoza

0 Khegai

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Espinoza

66.67 Khegai

Opponent Rating Last 3

63.8 Espinoza

74.16 Khegai

Trend Score Last 5

100 Espinoza

60 Khegai

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Espinoza

62.32 Khegai

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Espinoza

30.43 Khegai

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Espinoza

66.67 Khegai

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

63.8 Espinoza

74.16 Khegai

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Espinoza

72.5 Khegai

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Espinoza stays in class.

Khegai stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Espinoza height: 185.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Khegai height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Espinoza.

Advantage: Espinoza +40.0cm

Stance Interaction

Espinoza vs orthodox: 42.0

Khegai vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Khegai.

Advantage: Khegai

Style Interaction

Espinoza style: Boxer Puncher

Khegai style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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