Carlos Castro vs Luis Nery

Data as of: 2026-06-02 01:13:14 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Castro vs Nery Model lean: Castro Custom 55.94% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Carlos Castro 55.94%

Castro odds N/A

Nery odds N/A

Castro implied N/A

Nery implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Carlos Castro

Score 56.49 · 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Full name Carlos Alejandro Castro Manriquez

Age 32 · Rank #419 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Luis Nery

Score 65.92 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Full name Luis Esteban Nery Hernández

Age 31 · Rank #183 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Carlos Castro

Full name: Carlos Alejandro Castro Manriquez
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #419
Current model score: 56.49
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.568
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Castro

Custom

56% Castro

44% Nery

Model lean: Carlos Castro 55.94%
Win probability: 55.94%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Luis Nery

Full name: Luis Esteban Nery Hernández
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #183
Current model score: 65.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 166cm / 171cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

56.6 Castro Confidence High 0.750

90.0 Nery Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

66.7 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

72.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.550

82.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

69.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.640

85.0 Nery Confidence High 0.770

Defensive Skill

65.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.670

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

64.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring Iq Adaptability

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.600

70.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

63.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.470

71.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

62.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.650

74.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Castro: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Nery: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.380

28.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

Out Boxer

24.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.520

6.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

12.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.500

34.0 Nery Confidence High 0.870

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

14.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Advantage Castro Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Nery Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Castro

66.67 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Castro

33.33 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Castro

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.26 Castro

61.4 Nery

Trend Score Last 5

60 Castro

80 Nery

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Castro

81.94 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

24.19 Castro

54.17 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Castro

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.26 Castro

61.4 Nery

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Castro

80 Nery

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Castro stays in class.

Nery moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro

Height Reach Delta

Castro height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Nery height: 166.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Castro vs southpaw: 38.0

Nery vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Style Interaction

Castro style: Boxer Puncher

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro