Carlos Castro vs Luis Nery

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Featherweight.

Custom Matchup

Using selected fighters with persisted profile data. Choose matchup weight class before running.

Castro vs Nery Winner: Nery 68.28% ROI: N/A Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Featherweight.

Bout details

Castro odds N/A

Nery odds N/A

Castro implied N/A

Nery implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Carlos Castro

Score 55.18 · 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #237 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Luis Nery

Score 63.96 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #137 · Confidence Medium 0.654

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Carlos Castro

Age: 32
Fighter rank: #237
Current model score: 55.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.568
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Nery

32% Castro

68% Nery

Win probability: 68.28%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Luis Nery

Age: 31
Fighter rank: #137
Current model score: 63.96
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.654
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 166cm / 171cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Castro FiteQuant · Nery FiteQuant

Punching Power

56.6 Castro Confidence High 0.750

88.0 Nery Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

66.7 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

72.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.550

81.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

69.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.640

84.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

65.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

64.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.600

72.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

63.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.470

71.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.520

Chin

62.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.720

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

Cardio Engine

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.650

70.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.610

Style Profile

Castro: Boxer Puncher · Nery: Power Slugger

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.380

24.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

Out Boxer

24.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.520

6.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

12.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.500

38.0 Nery Confidence High 0.870

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.630

26.0 Nery Confidence High 0.750

Counter Puncher

14.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.280

6.0 Nery Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage

Castro: Vs Orthodox · Nery: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.700

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.700

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Castro Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Castro Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Castro Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.26 Castro Confidence High 1.000

61.4 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

60 Castro Confidence High 1.000

80 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Castro Confidence High 1.000

81.94 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

24.19 Castro Confidence High 1.000

54.17 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Castro Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.26 Castro Confidence High 1.000

61.4 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Castro Confidence High 1.000

80 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Castro stays in class.

Nery stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Castro reach: 178.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Nery reach: 171.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Stance Interaction

Castro advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Nery advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Style Interaction

Castro style: Boxer Puncher

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro