Carlos Castro vs Luis Nery

Data as of: 2026-06-02 02:00:37 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Castro vs Nery Model lean: Castro Custom 50.42% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Carlos Castro 50.42%

Castro odds N/A

Nery odds N/A

Castro implied N/A

Nery implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Carlos Castro

Score 56.49 · 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Full name Carlos Alejandro Castro Manriquez

Age 32 · Rank #419 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Luis Nery

Score 68.21 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Full name Luis Esteban Nery Hernández

Age 31 · Rank #183 · Confidence Medium 0.672

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Carlos Castro

Full name: Carlos Alejandro Castro Manriquez
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #419
Current model score: 56.49
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.568
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Castro

Custom

50% Castro

50% Nery

Model lean: Carlos Castro 50.42%
Win probability: 50.42%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Luis Nery

Full name: Luis Esteban Nery Hernández
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #183
Current model score: 68.21
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.672
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 166cm / 171cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

56.6 Castro Confidence High 0.750

91.0 Nery Confidence High 0.880

Punching Accuracy

66.7 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

79.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

72.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.550

83.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

69.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.640

86.0 Nery Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

65.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

64.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.600

74.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

63.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.470

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

62.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.720

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

Cardio Engine

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.650

72.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile Castro: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Nery: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.380

28.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

24.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.520

8.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

12.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.500

35.0 Nery Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.630

22.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

14.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.280

7.0 Nery Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Castro Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Nery Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Castro

66.67 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Castro

33.33 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Castro

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.26 Castro

62.27 Nery

Trend Score Last 5

60 Castro

80 Nery

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Castro

81.94 Nery

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

24.19 Castro

54.17 Nery

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Castro

33.33 Nery

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.26 Castro

62.27 Nery

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Castro

80 Nery

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Castro stays in class.

Nery stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Castro height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Nery height: 166.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Castro vs southpaw: 38.0

Nery vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Style Interaction

Castro style: Boxer Puncher

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro