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Jr. vs Palacios 05 Jul 2026 Model pick: Carrington Locked prediction 72.29% ROI: -20.48% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Bruce Carrington 72.29%

Jr. odds 1.1000

Palacios odds 7.0000

Jr. implied 90.91%

Palacios implied 14.29%

Market odds 1.1

Implied probability 90.91%

Expected return 0.7952

ROI -20.48%

Edge -18.62%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-19 02:35:04 UTC

Fighter details
BJ
Bruce Carrington Jr.

Score 73.20 · 17-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Bruce Carrington Jr.

Age 29 · Rank #53 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · US

RP
Rene Palacios

Score 64.02 · 19-0-1 (10 KO)

Full name Rene Osvaldo Palacios Galvan

Age 25 · Rank #236 · Confidence Medium 0.519

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 170cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

73.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.650

Punching Accuracy

79.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

69.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.520

Hand Speed

83.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

67.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

76.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.620

66.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.480

Defensive Skill

81.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.700

72.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

84.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

70.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.550

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

78.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

68.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

74.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.450

74.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

80.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

71.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Palacios: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.420

14.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.330

Out Boxer

26.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.570

20.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

14.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.480

18.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.420

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

36.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

12.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.310

12.0 Palacios Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Jr. vs southpaw  ·  Palacios vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.570

68.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.570

32.0 Palacios Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Jr.

100 Palacios

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Palacios

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Palacios

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.15 Jr.

57.67 Palacios

Trend Score Last 5

100 Jr.

100 Palacios

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Jr.

100 Palacios

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Palacios

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Palacios

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.15 Jr.

57.67 Palacios

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Jr.

100 Palacios

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jr. stays in class.

Palacios stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jr. height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Palacios height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Jr. vs southpaw: 38.0

Palacios vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Palacios.

Advantage: Palacios

Style Interaction

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Palacios style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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