Arnold Khegai vs Stephen Fulton

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2020-01-25

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Khegai vs Fulton 25 Jan 2020 Result: Fulton Historical Pick 83.19% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Stephen Fulton (U D)

Model pick Stephen Fulton 83.19%

Prediction result Correct

Khegai odds 7.0000

Fulton odds 1.1250

Khegai implied 14.29%

Fulton implied 88.89%

Pick odds 1.125

Pick implied 88.89%

Expected return 0.9359

ROI -6.41%

Edge -5.70%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:06:06 UTC

Fighter details

Arnold Khegai

Score 60.26 · 23-3-1 (14 KO)

Full name Arnold Khegai

Age 34 · Rank #348 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · UA

Stephen Fulton

Score 75.71 · 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Full name Stephen Fulton Jr.

Age 31 · Rank #60 · Confidence Medium 0.700

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 179cm · US

Arnold Khegai

Full name: Arnold Khegai
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #348
Current model score: 60.26
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.567
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 168cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 23-3-1 (14 KO)

25 Jan 2020

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Fulton

Historical

17% Khegai

83% Fulton

Fight result: Stephen Fulton (U D)
Model pick: Stephen Fulton 83.19%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 83.19%
Market odds: 1.125
Implied probability: 88.89%
Expected ROI (1u): -6.41%
Value edge: -5.70%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:06:06 UTC

Stephen Fulton

Full name: Stephen Fulton Jr.
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #60
Current model score: 75.71
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.700
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 179cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

63.1 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.730

45.3 Fulton Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

65.7 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.590

86.3 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

65.6 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.530

89.2 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

69.7 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.650

72.6 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

69.5 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.620

92.3 Fulton Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

62.4 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.560

90.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.9 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.630

87.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.790

Counter Punching

66.8 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.500

89.7 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.680

Chin

63.9 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.680

70.9 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

70.4 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.720

87.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Khegai: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Fulton: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

23.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

14.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.360

39.0 Fulton Confidence High 0.760

Power Slugger

16.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.400

5.0 Fulton Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

32.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.620

29.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

15.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.280

15.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.560

Stance Advantage Khegai Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Fulton Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.660

64.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.660

36.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Khegai

66.67 Fulton

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Khegai

0 Fulton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Khegai

33.33 Fulton

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.16 Khegai

77.18 Fulton

Trend Score Last 5

60 Khegai

60 Fulton

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

62.32 Khegai

81.06 Fulton

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.43 Khegai

18.18 Fulton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Khegai

33.33 Fulton

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.16 Khegai

77.18 Fulton

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

72.5 Khegai

80 Fulton

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Khegai moves down 2 classes.

Fulton moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Khegai height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Fulton height: 169.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Fulton.

Advantage: Fulton +15.0cm

Stance Interaction

Khegai vs orthodox: 68.0

Fulton vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral (Khegai +4.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Khegai style: Boxer Puncher

Fulton style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral