Seiya Tsutsumi vs Daigo Higa

Data as of: 2026-06-03 14:34:30 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Tsutsumi vs Higa 24 Feb 2025 Model lean: Tsutsumi Custom 64.24% ROI: -16.47% Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Seiya Tsutsumi 64.24%

Tsutsumi odds 1.3003

Higa odds 3.7500

Tsutsumi implied 76.91%

Higa implied 26.67%

Pick odds 1.3003

Pick implied 76.91%

Expected return 0.8353

ROI -16.47%

Edge -12.67%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:06 UTC

Fighter details

Seiya Tsutsumi

Score 70.69 · 13-0-3 (8 KO)

Full name Seiya Tsutsumi

Age 30 · Rank #86 · Confidence Medium 0.594

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 164cm · JP

WBA Bantamweight

Daigo Higa

Score 63.73 · 21-3-3 (19 KO)

Full name Daigo Higa

Age 30 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.615

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 163cm · JP

Seiya Tsutsumi

Full name: Seiya Tsutsumi
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #86
Current model score: 70.69
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.594
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 13-0-3 (8 KO)

World titles

WBA Bantamweight

24 Feb 2025

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Tsutsumi

Custom

64% Tsutsumi

36% Higa

Model lean: Seiya Tsutsumi 64.24%
Win probability: 64.24%
Market odds: 1.3003
Implied probability: 76.91%
Expected ROI (1u): -16.47%
Value edge: -12.67%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:06 UTC

Daigo Higa

Full name: Daigo Higa
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 63.73
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.615
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 163cm / 163cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 21-3-3 (19 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.730

92.1 Higa Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

80.5 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.640

79.2 Higa Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

72.9 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.480

74.5 Higa Confidence Medium 0.550

Pace Pressure

83.7 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.720

87.5 Higa Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

83.2 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.610

65.2 Higa Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

73.7 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.530

66.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.700

63.4 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

74.1 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.450

64.4 Higa Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

88.3 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.690

72.1 Higa Confidence Medium 0.610

Cardio Engine

79.4 Tsutsumi Confidence High 0.780

66.6 Higa Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Tsutsumi: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Higa: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

30.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.690

Out Boxer

14.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.460

6.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

18.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.500

37.0 Higa Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.630

18.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

10.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.320

5.0 Higa Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Tsutsumi Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Higa Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.640

44.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.640

56.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Tsutsumi

0 Higa

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Tsutsumi

0 Higa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Tsutsumi

33.33 Higa

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.01 Tsutsumi

74.84 Higa

Trend Score Last 5

90 Tsutsumi

60 Higa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

75.64 Tsutsumi

43.75 Higa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.77 Tsutsumi

39.58 Higa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Tsutsumi

33.33 Higa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.01 Tsutsumi

74.84 Higa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Tsutsumi

66.88 Higa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Tsutsumi stays in class.

Higa stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Tsutsumi height: 166.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Higa height: 163.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi +4.0cm

Stance Interaction

Tsutsumi vs orthodox: 58.0

Higa vs orthodox: 44.0

Interaction: low advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi

Style Interaction

Tsutsumi style: Pressure Swarmer

Higa style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Higa.

Advantage: Higa