Yoshiki Takei vs Yuttapong Tongdee

Data as of: 2026-05-15 09:25:13 UTC Historical As-of 2025-05-28

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Takei vs Tongdee 28 May 2025 Result: Takei Historical Pick 83.78% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Yoshiki Takei (TKO)

Model pick Yoshiki Takei 83.78%

Prediction result Correct

Takei odds 1.0714

Tongdee odds 8.7000

Takei implied 93.34%

Tongdee implied 11.49%

Pick odds 1.0714

Pick implied 93.34%

Expected return 0.8977

ROI -10.23%

Edge -9.55%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:15 UTC

Fighter details

Yoshiki Takei

Score 66.38 · 11-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Yoshiki Takei

Age 29 · Rank #172 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / N/A · JP

Yuttapong Tongdee

Score 45.01 · 15-2-0 (9 KO)

Full name Yuttapong Tongdee

Age 32 · Rank #461 · Confidence Medium 0.513

Stance Orthodox · H/R 160cm / 160cm · TH

Yoshiki Takei

Full name: Yoshiki Takei
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #172
Current model score: 66.38
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.591
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / N/A
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 11-1-0 (9 KO)

28 May 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Takei

Historical

84% Takei

16% Tongdee

Fight result: Yoshiki Takei (TKO)
Model pick: Yoshiki Takei 83.78%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 83.78%
Market odds: 1.0714
Implied probability: 93.34%
Expected ROI (1u): -10.23%
Value edge: -9.55%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:15 UTC

Yuttapong Tongdee

Full name: Yuttapong Tongdee
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #461
Current model score: 45.01
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.513
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 160cm / 160cm
Nationality: TH
Career snapshot: 15-2-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Takei Confidence High 0.780

62.4 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.700

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.610

45.5 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

82.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.660

58.6 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

74.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.630

64.3 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

68.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.560

43.0 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

75.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.610

43.6 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.440

Ring Iq Adaptability

73.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.600

43.6 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

71.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.520

43.6 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.350

Chin

58.0 Takei Confidence Low 0.460

41.0 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.700

Cardio Engine

77.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.670

48.5 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.560

Style Profile Takei: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Tongdee: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Takei Confidence Low 0.460

22.0 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.440

Out Boxer

26.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.670

14.0 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

24.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.720

18.0 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.470

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Takei Confidence High 0.760

34.0 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

8.0 Takei Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Tongdee Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Takei Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Tongdee Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Takei Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.520

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Takei Confidence Low 0.380

38.0 Tongdee Confidence Medium 0.520

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Takei

33.33 Tongdee

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Takei

0 Tongdee

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Takei

66.67 Tongdee

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.44 Takei

68.29 Tongdee

Trend Score Last 5

80 Takei

60 Tongdee

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Takei

66.67 Tongdee

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

61.11 Takei

32.14 Tongdee

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Takei

66.67 Tongdee

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.44 Takei

68.29 Tongdee

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Takei

80 Tongdee

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Takei stays in class.

Tongdee stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Takei reach: N/A height: 170.0cm delta: N/A

Tongdee reach: 160.0cm height: 160.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Takei advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Tongdee advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Takei.

Advantage: Takei

Style Interaction

Takei style: Boxer Puncher

Tongdee style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral