Takuma Inoue vs Tenshin Nasukawa

Data as of: 2026-10-05 07:23:14 UTC Time-safe result As-of 2026-09-27

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Inoue vs Nasukawa 27 Sep 2026 Result: Inoue Time-safe result Pick 73.38% Prediction: Incorrect Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Takuma Inoue (U D)

Pre-fight pick Tenshin Nasukawa 73.38%

Prediction result Incorrect

Inoue odds 1.3846

Nasukawa odds 2.8200

Inoue implied 72.22%

Nasukawa implied 35.46%

Pre-fight odds 2.82

Pre-fight implied 35.46%

Expected return 2.0693

ROI 106.93%

Edge 37.92%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-02 15:53:53 UTC

Fighter details

Takuma Inoue

Score 70.14 · 23-2-0 (5 KO)

Full name Takuma Inoue

Age 30 · Rank #89 · Confidence Medium 0.664

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

WBC Bantamweight

Tenshin Nasukawa

Score 76.77 · 8-2-0 (3 KO)

Full name Tenshin Nasukawa

Age 28 · Rank #39 · Confidence Medium 0.682

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 176cm · JP

Takuma Inoue

Full name: Takuma Inoue
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #89
Current model score: 70.14
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.664
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 164cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 23-2-0 (5 KO)

World titles

WBC Bantamweight

27 Sep 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Inoue

Time-safe result

100% Inoue

0% Nasukawa

Fight result: Takuma Inoue (U D)
Pre-fight pick: Tenshin Nasukawa 73.38%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 73.38%
Pre-fight odds: 2.82
Pre-fight implied: 35.46%
Expected ROI (1u): 106.93%
Value edge: 37.92%
Lean assessment: Value

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-02 15:53:53 UTC

Tenshin Nasukawa

Full name: Tenshin Nasukawa
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #39
Current model score: 76.77
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.682
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 165cm / 176cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 8-2-0 (3 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

69.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.670

83.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.760

Hand Speed

80.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.640

90.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.820

Pace Pressure

68.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

82.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

82.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.690

88.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.800

Ring IQ Adaptability

84.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

84.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

75.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.590

86.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.770

Chin

74.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.560

75.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.570

Cardio Engine

83.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.750

85.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Inoue: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Nasukawa: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.540

8.0 Nasukawa Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

44.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

39.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.680

Power Slugger

6.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

7.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.680

31.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.420

15.0 Nasukawa Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Interaction Inoue vs southpaw · Nasukawa vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

32.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Inoue

33.33 Nasukawa

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Inoue

33.33 Nasukawa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Inoue

100 Nasukawa

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.16 Inoue

78.55 Nasukawa

Trend Score Last 5

85 Inoue

40 Nasukawa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Inoue

61.11 Nasukawa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

10.87 Inoue

33.33 Nasukawa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Inoue

100 Nasukawa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.16 Inoue

78.55 Nasukawa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Inoue

70 Nasukawa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Nasukawa stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Inoue height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Nasukawa height: 165.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Inoue vs southpaw: 42.0

Nasukawa vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Out Boxer

Nasukawa style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral