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Higa vs Vargas 30 Jul 2025 Model lean: Vargas Custom 63.86% ROI: 101.17% Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Antonio Vargas 63.86%

Higa odds 1.4000

Vargas odds 3.1500

Higa implied 71.43%

Vargas implied 31.75%

Pick odds 3.15

Pick implied 31.75%

Expected return 2.0117

ROI 101.17%

Edge 32.12%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:10:19 UTC

Fighter details
DH
Daigo Higa

Score 63.75 · 21-3-3 (19 KO)

Full name Daigo Higa

Age 30 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.615

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 163cm · JP

AV
Antonio Vargas

Score 62.84 · 19-1-1 (11 KO)

Full name Antonio Vargas

Age 29 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.566

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 168cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

92.1 Higa Confidence High 0.860

75.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

79.2 Higa Confidence Medium 0.640

71.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

74.5 Higa Confidence Medium 0.550

73.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

87.5 Higa Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.690

Defensive Skill

65.2 Higa Confidence Medium 0.630

63.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.540

Ring Iq Adaptability

63.4 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

72.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

64.4 Higa Confidence Low 0.470

66.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.420

Chin

72.1 Higa Confidence Medium 0.610

58.0 Vargas Confidence High 0.750

Cardio Engine

66.6 Higa Confidence Medium 0.660

78.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Higa: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer  vs  Vargas: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.690

18.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

6.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.540

21.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

37.0 Higa Confidence High 0.790

17.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.490

Boxer Puncher

18.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

5.0 Higa Confidence Low 0.420

10.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Advantage Higa Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Vargas Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

44.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

72.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

56.0 Higa Confidence Medium 0.580

28.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

0 Higa

66.67 Vargas

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Higa

66.67 Vargas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Higa

33.33 Vargas

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.84 Higa

59.71 Vargas

Trend Score Last 5

60 Higa

90 Vargas

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

43.75 Higa

80.56 Vargas

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.58 Higa

66.67 Vargas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Higa

33.33 Vargas

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.84 Higa

59.71 Vargas

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

66.88 Higa

95 Vargas

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Higa stays in class.

Vargas stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Higa reach: 163.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Vargas reach: 168.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Vargas.

Advantage: Vargas

Stance Interaction

Higa advantage against southpaw: 56.0

Vargas advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Vargas.

Advantage: Vargas

Style Interaction

Higa style: Power Slugger

Vargas style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Vargas.

Advantage: Vargas

Model: FiteQuant

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