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Moloney vs Nasukawa 24 Feb 2025 Result: Nasukawa Historical Pick 81.43% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Tenshin Nasukawa (U D)

Model pick Tenshin Nasukawa 81.43%

Prediction result Correct

Moloney odds 3.0000

Nasukawa odds 1.4000

Moloney implied 33.33%

Nasukawa implied 71.43%

Pick odds 1.4

Pick implied 71.43%

Expected return 1.1400

ROI 14.00%

Edge 10.00%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:33:31 UTC

Fighter details
JM
Jason Moloney

Score 65.88 · 27-4-0 (19 KO)

Full name Jason Moloney

Age 35 · Rank #220 · Confidence Medium 0.608

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 165cm · AU

Tenshin Nasukawa
Tenshin Nasukawa

Score 74.30 · 9-1-0 (4 KO)

Full name Tenshin Nasukawa

Age 27 · Rank #31 · Confidence Medium 0.681

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 176cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.0 Moloney Confidence High 0.770

73.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.620

84.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

74.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.560

91.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.820

Pace Pressure

81.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

68.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.650

83.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.730

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.600

88.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.660

86.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.750

Counter Punching

69.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.520

87.0 Nasukawa Confidence High 0.770

Chin

71.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.680

79.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.570

Cardio Engine

82.0 Moloney Confidence High 0.780

85.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Moloney: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Nasukawa: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.550

12.0 Nasukawa Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

12.0 Moloney Confidence Low 0.450

38.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

18.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.560

6.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.720

28.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

8.0 Moloney Confidence Low 0.340

16.0 Nasukawa Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Moloney Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Nasukawa Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Moloney Confidence Medium 0.580

32.0 Nasukawa Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Moloney

66.67 Nasukawa

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Moloney

33.33 Nasukawa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Moloney

100 Nasukawa

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.71 Moloney

65.53 Nasukawa

Trend Score Last 5

60 Moloney

80 Nasukawa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.1 Moloney

83.33 Nasukawa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.93 Moloney

33.33 Nasukawa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Moloney

100 Nasukawa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.71 Moloney

65.53 Nasukawa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

72.5 Moloney

90 Nasukawa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Moloney moves down 1 class.

Nasukawa stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa

Height Reach Delta

Moloney height: 165.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Nasukawa height: 165.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Moloney vs southpaw: 38.0

Nasukawa vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nasukawa.

Advantage: Nasukawa

Style Interaction

Moloney style: Boxer Puncher

Nasukawa style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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