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Ioka vs Jr. 01 Sep 2021 Result: Ioka Historical Pick 50.02% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Kazuto Ioka (U D)

Model pick Francisco Rodríguez 50.02%

Prediction result Incorrect

Ioka odds 1.0830

Jr. odds 8.5000

Ioka implied 92.34%

Jr. implied 11.76%

Pick odds 8.5

Pick implied 11.76%

Expected return 4.2515

ROI 325.15%

Edge 38.25%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:03:46 UTC

Fighter details
KI
Kazuto Ioka

Score 74.17 · 32-5-1 (17 KO)

Full name Kazuto Ioka

Age 37 · Rank #63 · Confidence Medium 0.696

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

FJ
Francisco Rodríguez Jr.

Score 73.97 · 41-6-1 (28 KO)

Full name José Francisco Rodríguez Tamayo

Age 32 · Rank #46 · Confidence Medium 0.612

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 165cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.760

88.8 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

84.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.740

82.7 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.610

Hand Speed

79.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.660

84.9 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

74.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.700

93.9 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Defensive Skill

82.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.730

76.8 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.680

74.3 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.800

78.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

81.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.690

77.5 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.510

Chin

78.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.640

85.6 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

83.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.760

91.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Ioka: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Jr.: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.620

34.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Out Boxer

20.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.660

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.440

Power Slugger

10.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.710

22.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Boxer Puncher

37.0 Ioka Confidence High 0.780

28.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Puncher

15.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.530

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Advantage Ioka Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Jr. Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.690

44.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Ioka Confidence Medium 0.690

56.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Ioka

100 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Ioka

66.67 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Ioka

66.67 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

60.32 Ioka

48.33 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

40 Ioka

100 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

60.95 Ioka

100 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.52 Ioka

66.67 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Ioka

66.67 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

60.32 Ioka

49.44 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

65 Ioka

100 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ioka moves down 1 classes.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Reach vs Height Delta

Ioka reach: 164.0cm height: 164.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Jr. reach: 165.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Stance Interaction

Ioka advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Jr. advantage against southpaw: 56.0

Interaction: low advantage Ioka.

Advantage: Ioka

Style Interaction

Ioka style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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