Jarrell Miller vs Lenier Justiz

Data as of: 2026-05-17 07:41:50 UTC Time-safe As-of 2026-04-25

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Miller vs Justiz 25 Apr 2026 Result: Miller Time-safe Pick 69.57% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jarrell Miller (U D)

Model pick Lenier Justiz 69.57%

Prediction result Incorrect

Miller odds 1.5263

Justiz odds 2.4800

Miller implied 65.52%

Justiz implied 40.32%

Pick odds 2.48

Pick implied 40.32%

Expected return 1.7253

ROI 72.53%

Edge 29.25%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-05-08 14:30:10 UTC

Fighter details

Jarrell Miller

Score 58.10 · 28-1-2 (22 KO)

Full name Jarrell Miller

Age 37 · Rank #314 · Confidence Medium 0.594

Stance N/A · H/R 193cm / 198cm · US

Lenier Justiz

Score 68.68 · 13-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Lenier Eunice Peró Justiz

Age 33 · Rank #128 · Confidence Medium 0.616

Stance Southpaw · H/R 192cm / 201cm · CU

Jarrell Miller

Full name: Jarrell Miller
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #314
Current model score: 58.10
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.594
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 193cm / 198cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 28-1-2 (22 KO)

25 Apr 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Miller

Time-safe

30% Miller

70% Justiz

Fight result: Jarrell Miller (U D)
Model pick: Lenier Justiz 69.57%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 69.57%
Market odds: 2.48
Implied probability: 40.32%
Expected ROI (1u): 72.53%
Value edge: 29.25%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-05-08 14:30:10 UTC

Lenier Justiz

Full name: Lenier Eunice Peró Justiz
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #128
Current model score: 68.68
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.616
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 192cm / 201cm
Nationality: CU
Career snapshot: 13-1-0 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Miller Confidence High 0.820

78.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.610

76.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

58.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.500

79.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

84.0 Miller Confidence High 0.770

64.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

56.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.580

77.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

54.0 Miller Confidence Low 0.490

81.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.570

80.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

52.0 Miller Confidence Low 0.430

78.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.660

Chin

66.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.630

70.0 Justiz Confidence Low 0.490

Cardio Engine

76.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.710

75.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Miller: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger vs Justiz: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.670

10.0 Justiz Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

10.0 Miller Confidence Low 0.420

31.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

26.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.730

15.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.610

34.0 Justiz Confidence High 0.770

Counter Puncher

6.0 Miller Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Justiz Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Advantage Miller Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Justiz Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Justiz Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Miller Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Justiz Confidence Low 0.400

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Miller

66.67 Justiz

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Miller

0 Justiz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Miller

66.67 Justiz

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.95 Miller

61.4 Justiz

Trend Score Last 5

77.5 Miller

80 Justiz

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.76 Miller

83.33 Justiz

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.29 Miller

36.36 Justiz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Miller

66.67 Justiz

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.95 Miller

61.4 Justiz

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

88.75 Miller

90 Justiz

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Miller stays in class.

Justiz stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Miller reach: 198.0cm height: 193.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Justiz reach: 201.0cm height: 192.0cm delta: 9.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Justiz.

Advantage: Justiz

Stance Interaction

Miller advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Justiz advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Miller style: Pressure Swarmer

Justiz style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral