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Akhmadaliev vs Tapales 08 Apr 2023 Result: Tapales Historical Pick 79.26% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Marlon Tapales (S D)

Model pick Murodjon Akhmadaliev 79.26%

Prediction result Incorrect

Akhmadaliev odds 1.2222

Tapales odds 4.6000

Akhmadaliev implied 81.82%

Tapales implied 21.74%

Pick odds 1.2222

Pick implied 81.82%

Expected return 0.9687

ROI -3.13%

Edge -2.56%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:13:34 UTC

Fighter details
Murodjon Akhmadaliev
Murodjon Akhmadaliev

Score 73.80 · 14-2-0 (11 KO)

Full name Murodjon Kakharovich Akhmadaliev

Age 31 · Rank #59 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 173cm · UZ

Marlon Tapales
Marlon Tapales

Score 64.08 · 41-5-0 (22 KO)

Full name Marlon Tañan Tapales

Age 34 · Rank #223 · Confidence Medium 0.630

Stance Southpaw · H/R 163cm / 165cm · PH

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Akhmadaliev Confidence High 0.780

75.0 Tapales Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

82.2 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

86.3 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

77.9 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.670

68.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

80.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.640

64.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

83.6 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.670

69.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.590

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.710

76.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

85.4 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.630

73.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

84.3 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.580

60.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

77.3 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.690

70.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Akhmadaliev: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Tapales: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.570

17.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.540

Out Boxer

10.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Low 0.480

16.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.530

Power Slugger

24.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.700

21.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence High 0.790

33.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

14.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Low 0.430

13.0 Tapales Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Akhmadaliev Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Tapales Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.680

67.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.680

33.0 Tapales Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Akhmadaliev

66.67 Tapales

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Akhmadaliev

66.67 Tapales

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Akhmadaliev

100 Tapales

Opponent Rating Last 3

60.75 Akhmadaliev

51.67 Tapales

Trend Score Last 5

60 Akhmadaliev

80 Tapales

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.49 Akhmadaliev

78.68 Tapales

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

67.95 Akhmadaliev

66.67 Tapales

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Akhmadaliev

100 Tapales

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

60.75 Akhmadaliev

51.67 Tapales

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Akhmadaliev

80 Tapales

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Akhmadaliev moves down 1 classes.

Tapales moves down 3 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Akhmadaliev.

Advantage: Akhmadaliev

Height Reach Delta

Akhmadaliev height: 166.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Tapales height: 163.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Akhmadaliev.

Advantage: Akhmadaliev +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Akhmadaliev vs southpaw: 38.0

Tapales vs southpaw: 33.0

Interaction: low advantage Akhmadaliev.

Advantage: Akhmadaliev (Akhmadaliev +5.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Akhmadaliev style: Boxer Puncher

Tapales style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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