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Taylor vs Pili 05 Sep 2026 Model pick: Taylor Locked prediction 61.45% ROI: -36.51% Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Katie Taylor 61.45%

Taylor odds 1.0333

Pili odds 14.6000

Taylor implied 96.78%

Pili implied 6.85%

Market odds 1.0333

Implied probability 96.78%

Expected return 0.6349

ROI -36.51%

Edge -35.33%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-23 11:59:42 UTC

Fighter details
Katie Taylor
Katie Taylor

Score 76.99 · 25-1-0 (6 KO)

Full name Katie Taylor

Age 40 · Rank #25 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · IE

FP
Flora Pili

Score 60.82 · 12-0-0 (2 KO)

Full name Flora Pili

Age 29 · Rank #383 · Confidence Medium 0.528

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 172cm · FR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.790

48.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

84.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.750

71.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

88.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.820

64.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.440

Pace Pressure

85.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.800

63.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

78.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.710

74.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

86.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.790

73.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

90.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.830

76.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

82.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.720

61.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

86.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.770

69.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.420

Cardio Engine

89.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.840

78.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Taylor: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Pili: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

20.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.620

18.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.360

Out-Boxer

34.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.760

44.0 Pili Confidence Medium 0.680

Power Slugger

6.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.860

6.0 Pili Confidence High 0.820

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.710

22.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.460

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.500

10.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Interaction Taylor vs orthodox  ·  Pili vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.690

64.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.380

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.690

36.0 Pili Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Taylor

100 Pili

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Taylor

33.33 Pili

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Taylor

33.33 Pili

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.6 Taylor

58.16 Pili

Trend Score Last 5

85 Taylor

100 Pili

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Taylor

100 Pili

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

13.04 Taylor

33.33 Pili

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Taylor

33.33 Pili

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.6 Taylor

58.16 Pili

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Taylor

100 Pili

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Taylor stays in class.

Pili stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Taylor height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Pili height: 170.0cm reach: 172.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Pili.

Advantage: Pili +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Taylor vs orthodox: 58.0

Pili vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: low advantage Pili.

Advantage: Pili

Style Interaction

Taylor style: Out Boxer

Pili style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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