Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2025-07-11

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Taylor vs Serrano 11 Jul 2025 Result: Taylor Historical Pick 59.94% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Katie Taylor (M D)

Model pick Katie Taylor 59.94%

Prediction result Correct

Taylor odds 2.4300

Serrano odds 1.6667

Taylor implied 41.15%

Serrano implied 60.00%

Pick odds 2.43

Pick implied 41.15%

Expected return 1.4565

ROI 45.65%

Edge 18.78%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:54:54 UTC

Fighter details

Katie Taylor

Score 78.21 · 25-1-0 (6 KO)

Full name Katie Taylor

Age 39 · Rank #15 · Confidence Medium 0.748

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · IE

Amanda Serrano

Score 76.32 · 48-4-1 (31 KO)

Full name Amanda Serrano

Age 37 · Rank #33 · Confidence Medium 0.682

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 166cm · PR

Katie Taylor

Full name: Katie Taylor
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #15
Current model score: 78.21
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.748
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 168cm
Nationality: IE
Career snapshot: 25-1-0 (6 KO)

11 Jul 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Taylor

Historical

60% Taylor

40% Serrano

Fight result: Katie Taylor (M D)
Model pick: Katie Taylor 59.94%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 59.94%
Market odds: 2.43
Implied probability: 41.15%
Expected ROI (1u): 45.65%
Value edge: 18.78%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:54:54 UTC

Amanda Serrano

Full name: Amanda Serrano
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #33
Current model score: 76.32
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.682
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 168cm / 166cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 48-4-1 (31 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

50.2 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.740

88.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.840

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Taylor Confidence High 0.800

84.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

92.1 Taylor Confidence High 0.780

82.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

89.5 Taylor Confidence High 0.790

90.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.800

Defensive Skill

88.4 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.740

76.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Taylor Confidence High 0.770

78.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.640

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Taylor Confidence High 0.830

86.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.780

Counter Punching

90.3 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.720

79.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

93.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.760

85.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

87.9 Taylor Confidence High 0.830

91.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.820

Style Profile Taylor: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Serrano: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.630

22.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.650

Out Boxer

34.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.790

10.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

6.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.880

28.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.760

32.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.760

Counter Puncher

12.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.500

8.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Taylor Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Serrano Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

68.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

32.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.440

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Taylor

33.33 Serrano

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Taylor

0 Serrano

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Taylor

66.67 Serrano

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.86 Taylor

67.17 Serrano

Trend Score Last 5

85 Taylor

60 Serrano

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Taylor

63.67 Serrano

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

13.04 Taylor

31 Serrano

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Taylor

66.67 Serrano

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.86 Taylor

67.17 Serrano

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Taylor

72.5 Serrano

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Taylor stays in class.

Serrano moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Taylor.

Advantage: Taylor

Reach vs Height Delta

Taylor reach: 168.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Serrano reach: 166.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Taylor.

Advantage: Taylor

Stance Interaction

Taylor advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Serrano advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Serrano.

Advantage: Serrano

Style Interaction

Taylor style: Out Boxer

Serrano style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral