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Serrano vs Manzur 22 Aug 2026 Model pick: Serrano Locked prediction 83.67% ROI: -12.15% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Amanda Serrano 83.67%

Serrano odds 1.0500

Manzur odds 11.0000

Serrano implied 95.24%

Manzur implied 9.09%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.8785

ROI -12.15%

Edge -11.57%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-29 02:55:24 UTC

Fighter details
Amanda Serrano
Amanda Serrano

Score 77.21 · 49-4-1 (32 KO)

Full name Amanda Serrano

Age 37 · Rank #16 · Confidence Medium 0.690

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 166cm · PR

LM
Lucrecia Manzur

Score 57.98 · 14-4-0 (7 KO)

Full name Lucrecia Anabella Manzur

Age 27 · Rank #477 · Confidence Medium 0.540

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 166cm · AR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.820

72.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

84.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.720

66.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.540

Hand Speed

83.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.680

64.0 Manzur Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

87.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.800

70.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

78.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.660

58.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.650

62.0 Manzur Confidence Low 0.470

Ring IQ Adaptability

86.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.780

67.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Punching

80.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.620

59.0 Manzur Confidence Low 0.380

Chin

85.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.740

55.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

88.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.810

71.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Serrano: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Manzur: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

23.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.630

18.0 Manzur Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

15.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.620

22.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

25.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.780

16.0 Manzur Confidence Low 0.480

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.810

34.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter-Puncher

7.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.390

10.0 Manzur Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Serrano vs orthodox  ·  Manzur vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.710

66.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.530

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.510

34.0 Manzur Confidence Medium 0.530

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Serrano

100 Manzur

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Serrano

33.33 Manzur

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Serrano

33.33 Manzur

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.42 Serrano

54 Manzur

Trend Score Last 5

80 Serrano

100 Manzur

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Serrano

100 Manzur

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Serrano

35.9 Manzur

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Serrano

33.33 Manzur

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.42 Serrano

54 Manzur

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Serrano

100 Manzur

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Serrano stays in class.

Manzur stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Serrano height: 168.0cm reach: 166.0cm

Manzur height: 165.1cm reach: 166.4cm

Interaction: low advantage Serrano.

Advantage: Serrano +2.5cm

Stance Interaction

Serrano vs orthodox: 64.0

Manzur vs southpaw: 34.0

Interaction: medium advantage Serrano.

Advantage: Serrano

Style Interaction

Serrano style: Boxer Puncher

Manzur style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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