OWN YOUR EDGE
Casimero vs Nery 18 Apr 2026 Winner: Casimero 52.31% ROI: 47.50% Tap to expand
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Using persisted bout weight class: Super bantamweight.

Bout details

Casimero odds 2.8200

Nery odds 1.3846

Casimero implied 35.46%

Nery implied 72.22%

Pick odds 2.82

Pick implied 35.46%

Expected return 1.4750

ROI 47.50%

Edge 16.84%

Lean Value

2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC

Fighter details
JC
John Casimero

Score 63.71 · 35-5-1 (24 KO)

Age 37 · Rank #149 · Confidence Medium 0.642

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 178cm · PH

LN
Luis Nery

Score 63.96 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #144 · Confidence Medium 0.654

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Casimero Confidence High 0.790

88.0 Nery Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.650

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

77.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.680

81.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

78.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.720

84.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

62.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.610

66.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.670

72.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

75.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

71.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.520

Chin

71.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.660

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

Cardio Engine

69.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.640

70.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.610

Style Profile Casimero: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Nery: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.620

24.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

Out Boxer

8.0 Casimero Confidence Low 0.480

6.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

33.0 Casimero Confidence High 0.780

38.0 Nery Confidence High 0.870

Boxer Puncher

27.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.670

26.0 Nery Confidence High 0.750

Counter Puncher

8.0 Casimero Confidence Low 0.420

6.0 Nery Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Casimero high advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Nery large advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.660

66.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.700

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.660

34.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.700

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

49 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

61.4 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

70 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

80 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.75 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

81.94 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

54.17 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.75 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

61.4 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Casimero Confidence High 1.000

80 Nery Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Casimero moves down 2 classes.

Nery moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Reach vs Height Delta

Casimero reach: 178.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 15.0cm

Nery reach: 171.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Casimero.

Advantage: Casimero

Stance Interaction

Casimero advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Nery advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Style Interaction

Casimero style: Power Slugger

Nery style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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