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Casimero vs Edwards 10 Sep 2016 Result: Casimero Historical Pick 67.39% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result John Casimero (TKO)

Model pick Charlie Edwards 67.39%

Prediction result Incorrect

Casimero odds 1.7407

Edwards odds 2.2000

Casimero implied 57.45%

Edwards implied 45.45%

Pick odds 2.2

Pick implied 45.45%

Expected return 1.4826

ROI 48.26%

Edge 21.93%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:18:51 UTC

Fighter details
JC
John Riel Casimero

Score 63.00 · 35-5-1 (24 KO)

Full name John Riel Reponte Casimero

Age 37 · Rank #194 · Confidence Medium 0.619

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 178cm · PH

CE
Charlie Edwards

Score 66.25 · 21-3-0 (7 KO)

Full name Charlie Edwards

Age 33 · Rank #231 · Confidence Medium 0.627

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 168cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

83.0 Casimero Confidence High 0.770

54.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.620

74.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

74.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.640

73.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.560

Pace Pressure

69.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.610

61.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

60.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.580

77.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

63.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.570

79.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.670

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.660

80.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

76.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

71.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

67.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.600

64.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

70.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.620

82.0 Edwards Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Casimero: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Edwards: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

8.0 Casimero Confidence Low 0.480

52.0 Edwards Confidence High 0.770

Power Slugger

30.0 Casimero Confidence High 0.750

6.0 Edwards Confidence High 0.800

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.690

27.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

10.0 Casimero Confidence Low 0.420

7.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Casimero Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Edwards Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Casimero Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Casimero

33.33 Edwards

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Casimero

0 Edwards

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Casimero

100 Edwards

Opponent Rating Last 3

49 Casimero

69.9 Edwards

Trend Score Last 5

70 Casimero

40 Edwards

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.75 Casimero

62.12 Edwards

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Casimero

15.91 Edwards

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Casimero

100 Edwards

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

50.9 Casimero

69.9 Edwards

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Casimero

70 Edwards

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Casimero moves down 5 classes.

Edwards moves down 1 class.

Interaction: medium advantage Edwards.

Advantage: Edwards

Height Reach Delta

Casimero height: 163.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Edwards height: 168.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Casimero.

Advantage: Casimero +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Casimero vs orthodox: 42.0

Edwards vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Edwards.

Advantage: Edwards

Style Interaction

Casimero style: Power Slugger

Edwards style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Edwards.

Advantage: Edwards

Model: FiteQuant

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