Luis Nery vs Azat Hovhannisyan

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2023-02-18

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Nery vs Hovhannisyan 18 Feb 2023 Result: Hernández Historical Pick 69.44% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Luis Hernández (KO)

Model pick Luis Nery 69.44%

Prediction result Correct

Nery odds 1.8696

Hovhannisyan odds 2.1000

Nery implied 53.49%

Hovhannisyan implied 47.62%

Pick odds 1.8696

Pick implied 53.49%

Expected return 1.2982

ROI 29.82%

Edge 15.95%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:13:42 UTC

Fighter details

Luis Nery

Score 66.22 · 37-2-0 (28 KO)

Full name Luis Esteban Nery Hernández

Age 31 · Rank #181 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 171cm · MX

Azat Hovhannisyan

Score 60.12 · 24-6-0 (17 KO)

Full name Azat Hovhannisyan

Age 37 · Rank #340 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM

Luis Nery

Full name: Luis Esteban Nery Hernández
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #181
Current model score: 66.22
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 166cm / 171cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 37-2-0 (28 KO)

18 Feb 2023

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Hernández

Historical

69% Nery

31% Hovhannisyan

Fight result: Luis Hernández (KO)
Model pick: Luis Nery 69.44%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 69.44%
Market odds: 1.8696
Implied probability: 53.49%
Expected ROI (1u): 29.82%
Value edge: 15.95%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:13:42 UTC

Azat Hovhannisyan

Full name: Azat Hovhannisyan
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #340
Current model score: 60.12
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.595
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 165cm
Nationality: AM
Career snapshot: 24-6-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

90.0 Nery Confidence High 0.860

82.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

66.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.570

Hand Speed

82.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.660

68.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.510

Pace Pressure

85.0 Nery Confidence High 0.770

78.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

62.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.690

58.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

68.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.580

60.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

Ring Iq Adaptability

70.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.610

64.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

71.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.550

55.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.720

61.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

74.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

72.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Nery: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer vs Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

28.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.730

33.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

6.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.630

7.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

34.0 Nery Confidence High 0.870

28.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.710

24.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

8.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.520

8.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Advantage Nery Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Hovhannisyan Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

62.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Nery Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Nery

66.67 Hovhannisyan

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Nery

0 Hovhannisyan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Nery

100 Hovhannisyan

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.4 Nery

57.24 Hovhannisyan

Trend Score Last 5

80 Nery

70 Hovhannisyan

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.94 Nery

73.72 Hovhannisyan

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

54.17 Nery

32.69 Hovhannisyan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Nery

100 Hovhannisyan

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.4 Nery

57.24 Hovhannisyan

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Nery

85 Hovhannisyan

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nery moves down 2 classes.

Hovhannisyan stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Hovhannisyan.

Advantage: Hovhannisyan

Height Reach Delta

Nery height: 166.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Hovhannisyan height: 168.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery +4.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nery vs orthodox: 58.0

Hovhannisyan vs southpaw: 38.0

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery

Style Interaction

Nery style: Power Slugger

Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: medium advantage Nery.

Advantage: Nery