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Smith vs Morrell 18 Apr 2026 Winner: Morrell 70.25% ROI: 32.97% Tap to expand
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Using persisted bout weight class: Light heavyweight.

Bout details

Smith odds 1.8929

Morrell odds 1.8929

Smith implied 52.83%

Morrell implied 52.83%

Pick odds 1.8929

Pick implied 52.83%

Expected return 1.3297

ROI 32.97%

Edge 17.42%

Lean Value

2026-04-13 07:28:30 UTC

Fighter details
CS
Callum Smith

Score 63.92 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #145 · Confidence Medium 0.619

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

DM
David Morrell

Score 68.24 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #97 · Confidence Medium 0.621

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 196cm · CU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Smith Confidence High 0.790

87.0 Morrell Confidence High 0.810

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

80.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

71.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.540

82.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.610

Pace Pressure

66.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

74.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

72.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.600

72.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

78.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.690

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

76.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

74.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

81.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.660

Chin

68.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.630

75.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

75.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

77.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Smith: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Morrell: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.410

14.0 Morrell Confidence Low 0.480

Out Boxer

25.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

18.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

22.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

24.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

33.0 Smith Confidence High 0.790

34.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

10.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.340

10.0 Morrell Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Advantage Smith large advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Morrell large advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Morrell Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

28.0 Morrell Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Smith Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Smith Confidence High 1.000

0 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Smith Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.47 Smith Confidence High 1.000

74.08 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

80 Smith Confidence High 1.000

80 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.67 Smith Confidence High 1.000

83.33 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.67 Smith Confidence High 1.000

45 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Smith Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.47 Smith Confidence High 1.000

74.08 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Smith Confidence High 1.000

90 Morrell Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Morrell stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Morrell reach: 196.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 11.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Morrell.

Advantage: Morrell

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Morrell advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Morrell.

Advantage: Morrell

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Morrell style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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