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Cortes vs Magsayo 13 Sep 2026 Model pick: Cortes Locked prediction 54.84% ROI: 32.72% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Andres Cortes 54.84%

Cortes odds 2.4200

Magsayo odds 1.5208

Cortes implied 41.32%

Magsayo implied 65.75%

Market odds 2.42

Implied probability 41.32%

Expected return 1.3272

ROI 32.72%

Edge 13.52%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-19 11:21:36 UTC

Fighter details
AC
Andres Cortes

Score 73.16 · 26-0-0 (13 KO)

Full name Andres Cortes

Age 29 · Rank #185 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 165cm · US

Mark Magsayo
Mark Magsayo

Score 69.92 · 29-2-0 (19 KO)

Full name Jessel Mark Araula Magsayo

Age 31 · Rank #226 · Confidence Medium 0.629

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 171cm · PH

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.720

82.0 Magsayo Confidence High 0.800

Punching Accuracy

80.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.640

72.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

76.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.520

78.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

78.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.610

74.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

82.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.700

64.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.610

67.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring IQ Adaptability

81.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.680

70.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

74.0 Cortes Confidence Low 0.470

73.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

73.0 Cortes Confidence Low 0.350

76.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

80.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Cortes: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Magsayo: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Cortes Confidence Low 0.420

18.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.570

Out-Boxer

26.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.630

12.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.530

Power Slugger

12.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.560

26.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.670

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.740

34.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Cortes Confidence Low 0.290

10.0 Magsayo Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Interaction Cortes vs orthodox  ·  Magsayo vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Cortes Confidence Medium 0.630

42.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Cortes Confidence Low 0.410

58.0 Magsayo Confidence Medium 0.650

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Cortes

100 Magsayo

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Cortes

66.67 Magsayo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Cortes

33.33 Magsayo

Opponent Rating Last 3

55.52 Cortes

48.33 Magsayo

Trend Score Last 5

100 Cortes

100 Magsayo

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Cortes

100 Magsayo

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.94 Cortes

66.67 Magsayo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Cortes

33.33 Magsayo

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

55.52 Cortes

50.49 Magsayo

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Cortes

100 Magsayo

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cortes moves up 1 class.

Magsayo stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Magsayo.

Advantage: Magsayo

Height Reach Delta

Cortes height: 170.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Magsayo height: 169.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Magsayo.

Advantage: Magsayo +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Cortes vs orthodox: 64.0

Magsayo vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Cortes.

Advantage: Cortes

Style Interaction

Cortes style: Boxer Puncher

Magsayo style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Objective Only

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