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Makhmudov vs Fury 11 Apr 2026 Result: Fury Time-safe Pick 84.39% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Tyson Fury (U D)

Model pick Tyson Fury 84.39%

Prediction result Correct

Makhmudov odds 5.1000

Fury odds 1.1538

Makhmudov implied 19.61%

Fury implied 86.67%

Pick odds 1.1538

Pick implied 86.67%

Expected return 0.9737

ROI -2.63%

Edge -2.28%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-04-17 14:30:06 UTC

Fighter details
AM
Arslanbek Makhmudov

Score 56.52 · 21-3-0 (19 KO)

Full name Arslanbek Ruslanovich Makhmudov

Age 36 · Rank #369 · Confidence Medium 0.675

Stance Orthodox · H/R 197cm / 194cm · RU

Tyson Fury
Tyson Fury

Score 72.25 · 35-2-1 (24 KO)

Full name Tyson Luke Fury

Age 37 · Rank #61 · Confidence High 0.779

Stance Orthodox · H/R 206cm / 216cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

90.0 Makhmudov Confidence High 0.910

84.0 Fury Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.680

78.0 Fury Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

63.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.550

74.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.740

Pace Pressure

81.0 Makhmudov Confidence High 0.820

76.0 Fury Confidence High 0.760

Defensive Skill

45.0 Makhmudov Confidence High 0.760

75.0 Fury Confidence High 0.800

Distance Footwork Control

50.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.660

80.0 Fury Confidence High 0.810

Ring Iq Adaptability

52.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.650

84.0 Fury Confidence High 0.840

Counter Punching

47.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.520

79.0 Fury Confidence High 0.770

Chin

49.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.640

83.0 Fury Confidence High 0.820

Cardio Engine

62.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.630

77.0 Fury Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Makhmudov: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer  vs  Fury: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

26.0 Makhmudov Confidence High 0.840

16.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.730

Out Boxer

8.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.630

33.0 Fury Confidence High 0.880

Power Slugger

46.0 Makhmudov Confidence High 0.930

8.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer Puncher

16.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.680

31.0 Fury Confidence High 0.870

Counter Puncher

4.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.570

12.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.690

Stance Advantage Makhmudov Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Fury Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Makhmudov Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.730

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Makhmudov Confidence Low 0.380

38.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.730

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Makhmudov

33.33 Fury

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Makhmudov

0 Fury

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Makhmudov

33.33 Fury

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.37 Makhmudov

85.91 Fury

Trend Score Last 5

40 Makhmudov

60 Fury

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

62.12 Makhmudov

65.24 Fury

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.18 Makhmudov

34.29 Fury

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Makhmudov

33.33 Fury

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.37 Makhmudov

85.91 Fury

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Makhmudov

80 Fury

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Makhmudov stays in class.

Fury stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Makhmudov reach: 194.0cm height: 197.0cm delta: -3.0cm

Fury reach: 216.0cm height: 206.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Fury.

Advantage: Fury

Stance Interaction

Makhmudov advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Fury advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Makhmudov.

Advantage: Makhmudov

Style Interaction

Makhmudov style: Power Slugger

Fury style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Fury.

Advantage: Fury

Model: FiteQuant

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