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Sylve vs Diaz 20 Jun 2026 Result: Sylve Time-safe result Pick 62.24% Prediction: Correct Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Ashton Sylve (U D)

Pre-fight pick Ashton Sylve 62.24%

Prediction result Correct

Sylve odds 1.1250

Diaz odds 6.0000

Sylve implied 88.89%

Diaz implied 16.67%

Pre-fight odds 1.125

Pre-fight implied 88.89%

Expected return 0.7002

ROI -29.98%

Edge -26.65%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-06-19 01:10:22 UTC

Fighter details
AS
Ashton Sylve

Score 64.50 · 13-1-1 (10 KO)

Full name Ashton Sylve

Age 22 · Rank #264 · Confidence Medium 0.558

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

Joseph Diaz
Joseph Diaz

Score 59.68 · 34-9-2 (15 KO)

Full name Joseph Pedroza Diaz Jr.

Age 33 · Rank #367 · Confidence Medium 0.665

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 163cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Sylve Confidence High 0.770

61.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.580

72.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.700

Hand Speed

78.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

68.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.530

73.0 Diaz Confidence High 0.750

Defensive Skill

61.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.660

63.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.540

64.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.600

71.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

66.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.480

66.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

54.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.700

58.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.710

Cardio Engine

76.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.680

74.0 Diaz Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Sylve: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Diaz: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.330

26.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

22.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.530

14.0 Diaz Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

24.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.600

10.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.680

38.0 Diaz Confidence High 0.760

Counter Puncher

10.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.250

12.0 Diaz Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Interaction Sylve vs southpaw  ·  Diaz vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Sylve Confidence Medium 0.610

58.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Sylve Confidence Low 0.380

42.0 Diaz Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Sylve

0 Diaz

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Sylve

0 Diaz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Sylve

100 Diaz

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.85 Sylve

80.23 Diaz

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Sylve

30 Diaz

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.49 Sylve

39.53 Diaz

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

38.46 Sylve

17.44 Diaz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Sylve

100 Diaz

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.85 Sylve

80.23 Diaz

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.87 Sylve

30 Diaz

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Sylve stays in class.

Diaz stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Sylve height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Diaz height: 168.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Sylve.

Advantage: Sylve +15.0cm

Stance Interaction

Sylve vs southpaw: 32.0

Diaz vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Diaz.

Advantage: Diaz

Style Interaction

Sylve style: Boxer Puncher

Diaz style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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