Model:

Azat Hovhannisyan vs Eduardo Valencia

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Time-safe As-of 2026-04-06

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Time-safe prediction uses a neutral weight-class factor until a confirmed bout class is available.

Hovhannisyan vs Valencia 06 Apr 2026 Result: Hovhannisyan Time-safe Pick 93.38% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Time-safe prediction uses a neutral weight-class factor until a confirmed bout class is available.

Bout details

Fight result Azat Hovhannisyan (M D)

Model pick Azat Hovhannisyan 93.38%

Prediction result Correct

Hovhannisyan odds 1.5882

Valencia odds 2.3500

Hovhannisyan implied 62.96%

Valencia implied 42.55%

Pick odds 1.5882

Pick implied 62.96%

Expected return 1.4831

ROI 48.31%

Edge 30.42%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:41 UTC

Fighter details

AH

Azat Hovhannisyan

Score 59.66 · 24-6-0 (17 KO)

Full name Azat Hovhannisyan

Age 37 · Rank #340 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM

EV

Eduardo Valencia

Score 8.35 · 23-7-2 (0 KO)

Full name Eduardo Baez Valencia

Age N/A · Rank #581 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 173cm · MX

AH

Azat Hovhannisyan

Full name: Azat Hovhannisyan
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #340
Current model score: 59.66
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.595
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 165cm
Nationality: AM
Career snapshot: 24-6-0 (17 KO)

06 Apr 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Hovhannisyan

Time-safe

93% Hovhannisyan

7% Valencia

Fight result: Azat Hovhannisyan (M D)
Model pick: Azat Hovhannisyan 93.38%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 93.38%
Market odds: 1.5882
Implied probability: 62.96%
Expected ROI (1u): 48.31%
Value edge: 30.42%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:41 UTC

EV

Eduardo Valencia

Full name: Eduardo Baez Valencia
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #581
Current model score: 8.35
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 173cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 23-7-2 (0 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 0.790

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.570

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

68.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.510

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

78.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.720

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

58.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.620

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

60.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

55.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.430

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Chin

61.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

72.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Style Profile Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger vs Valencia: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

33.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

7.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.460

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

28.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.740

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

8.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.350

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Hovhannisyan Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Valencia Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Valencia Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Hovhannisyan

66.67 Valencia

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Hovhannisyan

33.33 Valencia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Hovhannisyan

100 Valencia

Opponent Rating Last 3

57.24 Hovhannisyan

53.7 Valencia

Trend Score Last 5

70 Hovhannisyan

55 Valencia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

73.72 Hovhannisyan

66.67 Valencia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.69 Hovhannisyan

33.33 Valencia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Hovhannisyan

100 Valencia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.24 Hovhannisyan

64.86 Valencia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Hovhannisyan

55 Valencia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

No confirmed bout class is available.

Weight-class factor is neutral for this time-safe prediction.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Hovhannisyan height: 168.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Valencia height: 169.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Valencia.

Advantage: Valencia +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Hovhannisyan vs orthodox: 62.0

Valencia vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer

Valencia style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login