Azat Hovhannisyan vs David Picasso

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2024-08-24

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Hovhannisyan vs Picasso 24 Aug 2024 Result: Romero Historical Pick 68.95% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Alan Romero (U D)

Model pick David Picasso 68.95%

Prediction result Correct

Hovhannisyan odds 5.0000

Picasso odds 1.1739

Hovhannisyan implied 20.00%

Picasso implied 85.19%

Pick odds 1.1739

Pick implied 85.19%

Expected return 0.8095

ROI -19.05%

Edge -16.23%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:11:47 UTC

Fighter details

Azat Hovhannisyan

Score 58.52 · 24-6-0 (17 KO)

Full name Azat Hovhannisyan

Age 37 · Rank #320 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM

David Picasso

Score 69.42 · 32-1-1 (17 KO)

Full name Alan David Picasso Romero

Age 25 · Rank #131 · Confidence Medium 0.574

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 178cm · MX

Azat Hovhannisyan

Full name: Azat Hovhannisyan
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #320
Current model score: 58.52
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.595
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 165cm
Nationality: AM
Career snapshot: 24-6-0 (17 KO)

24 Aug 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Romero

Historical

31% Hovhannisyan

69% Picasso

Fight result: Alan Romero (U D)
Model pick: David Picasso 68.95%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 68.95%
Market odds: 1.1739
Implied probability: 85.19%
Expected ROI (1u): -19.05%
Value edge: -16.23%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:11:47 UTC

David Picasso

Full name: Alan David Picasso Romero
Age: 25
Fighter rank: #131
Current model score: 69.42
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.574
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 178cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 32-1-1 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

82.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence High 0.790

74.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.570

78.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

68.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.510

79.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

78.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

58.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.620

75.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

60.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

77.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.560

80.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

55.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.430

73.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

61.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

72.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.470

Cardio Engine

72.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

81.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger vs Picasso: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

33.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.630

14.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

7.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.460

24.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

28.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.740

12.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

8.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.350

12.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.270

Stance Advantage Hovhannisyan Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Picasso Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

42.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.660

58.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Hovhannisyan

66.67 Picasso

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Hovhannisyan

33.33 Picasso

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Hovhannisyan

66.67 Picasso

Opponent Rating Last 3

57.24 Hovhannisyan

63.5 Picasso

Trend Score Last 5

70 Hovhannisyan

80 Picasso

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

73.72 Hovhannisyan

81.72 Picasso

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.69 Hovhannisyan

42.47 Picasso

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Hovhannisyan

66.67 Picasso

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.24 Hovhannisyan

63.5 Picasso

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Hovhannisyan

90 Picasso

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hovhannisyan stays in class.

Picasso stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Hovhannisyan reach: 165.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -3.0cm

Picasso reach: 178.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Picasso.

Advantage: Picasso

Stance Interaction

Hovhannisyan advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Picasso advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Hovhannisyan.

Advantage: Hovhannisyan

Style Interaction

Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer

Picasso style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral