Cesar Navarro vs Gurgen Hovhannisyan

Data as of: 2026-06-13 01:18:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2026-03-28

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Navarro vs Hovhannisyan 28 Mar 2026 Result: Hovhannisyan Historical result Pick 59.41% Prediction: Correct Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Gurgen Hovhannisyan (TKO)

Historical lean Gurgen Hovhannisyan 59.41%

Prediction result Correct

Navarro odds 5.4000

Hovhannisyan odds 1.1818

Navarro implied 18.52%

Hovhannisyan implied 84.62%

Closing odds 1.1818

Closing implied 84.62%

Expected return 0.7021

ROI -29.79%

Edge -25.21%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 18:57:08 UTC

Fighter details

Cesar Navarro

Score 53.07 · 9-4-0 (9 KO)

Full name Cesar Navarro

Age 26 · Rank #483 · Confidence Medium 0.506

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 187cm · MX

Gurgen Hovhannisyan

Score 59.42 · 10-0-0 (9 KO)

Full name Gurgen Hovhannisyan

Age 28 · Rank #330 · Confidence Low 0.441

Stance Orthodox · H/R 201cm / N/A · AM

Cesar Navarro

Full name: Cesar Navarro
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #483
Current model score: 53.07
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.506
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 187cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 9-4-0 (9 KO)

28 Mar 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Hovhannisyan

Historical result

0% Navarro

100% Hovhannisyan

Fight result: Gurgen Hovhannisyan (TKO)
Historical lean: Gurgen Hovhannisyan 59.41%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 59.41%
Closing odds: 1.1818
Closing implied: 84.62%
Expected ROI (1u): -29.79%
Value edge: -25.21%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 18:57:08 UTC

Gurgen Hovhannisyan

Full name: Gurgen Hovhannisyan
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #330
Current model score: 59.42
Fighter confidence: Low 0.441
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 201cm / N/A
Nationality: AM
Career snapshot: 10-0-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Navarro Confidence High 0.750

86.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

64.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

61.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.400

66.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

66.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.550

74.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

Defensive Skill

53.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.580

61.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.320

Distance Footwork Control

56.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.500

64.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.350

Ring Iq Adaptability

57.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.480

67.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Punching

50.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.360

60.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.290

Chin

58.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.540

69.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.330

Cardio Engine

63.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.600

63.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.400

Style Profile Navarro: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Hovhannisyan: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

12.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.400

16.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.340

Power Slugger

34.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.720

37.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Low 0.490

Counter Puncher

10.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.300

7.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Navarro vs orthodox · Hovhannisyan vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.350

28.0 Hovhannisyan Confidence Medium 0.540

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.09 Navarro

50.53 Hovhannisyan

Trend Score Last 5

40 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

56.67 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

46.67 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.09 Navarro

50.53 Hovhannisyan

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

62.5 Navarro

100 Hovhannisyan

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Navarro stays in class.

Hovhannisyan stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Navarro height: 183.0cm reach: 187.0cm

Hovhannisyan height: 201.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Navarro vs orthodox: 72.0

Hovhannisyan vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Navarro style: Power Slugger

Hovhannisyan style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral