Francis Waitai vs Max Reeves

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2026-04-05

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Waitai vs Reeves 05 Apr 2026 Result: Reeves Historical Pick 64.25% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Max Reeves

Model pick Francis Waitai 64.25%

Prediction result Incorrect

Waitai odds 3.1000

Reeves odds 1.5263

Waitai implied 32.26%

Reeves implied 65.52%

Pick odds 3.1

Pick implied 32.26%

Expected return 1.9917

ROI 99.17%

Edge 31.99%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:45 UTC

Fighter details

Francis Waitai

Score 9.77 · 13-4-1 (0 KO)

Full name Francis Waitai

Age 30 · Rank #560 · Confidence N/A

Stance Southpaw · H/R 190cm / 190cm · NZ

Max Reeves

Score 0.00 · 13-1-1 (8 KO)

Full name Max Reeves

Age N/A · Rank #578 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 184cm / N/A · AU

Francis Waitai

Full name: Francis Waitai
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #560
Current model score: 9.77
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 190cm / 190cm
Nationality: NZ
Career snapshot: 13-4-1 (0 KO)

05 Apr 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Reeves

Historical

64% Waitai

36% Reeves

Fight result: Max Reeves
Model pick: Francis Waitai 64.25%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 64.25%
Market odds: 3.1
Implied probability: 32.26%
Expected ROI (1u): 99.17%
Value edge: 31.99%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:45 UTC

Max Reeves

Full name: Max Reeves
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #578
Current model score: 0.00
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 184cm / N/A
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 13-1-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Chin

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Style Profile Waitai: vs Reeves: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Waitai Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Reeves Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

N/A Waitai Confidence No Data

N/A Reeves Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Waitai

100 Reeves

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Waitai

0 Reeves

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Waitai

33.33 Reeves

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.33 Waitai

58.81 Reeves

Trend Score Last 5

80 Waitai

85 Reeves

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Waitai

100 Reeves

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

3.33 Waitai

8.33 Reeves

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Waitai

33.33 Reeves

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.33 Waitai

58.81 Reeves

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Waitai

92.5 Reeves

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Waitai stays in class.

Reeves stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Waitai height: 190.0cm reach: 190.0cm

Reeves height: 184.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Waitai vs orthodox: N/A

Reeves vs southpaw: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Waitai style:

Reeves style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral