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Edwards vs McGrail 21 Dec 2024 Result: McGrail Historical Pick 64.54% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Peter McGrail (U D)

Model pick Peter McGrail 64.54%

Prediction result Correct

Edwards odds 4.7000

McGrail odds 1.2500

Edwards implied 21.28%

McGrail implied 80.00%

Pick odds 1.25

Pick implied 80.00%

Expected return 0.8067

ROI -19.33%

Edge -15.46%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:10:46 UTC

Fighter details
RE
Rhys Edwards

Score 60.82 · 17-1-1 (0 KO)

Full name Rhys Edwards

Age 26 · Rank #303 · Confidence Medium 0.507

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 165cm · GB

PM
Peter McGrail

Score 67.21 · 12-2-0 (6 KO)

Full name Peter McGrail

Age 29 · Rank #154 · Confidence Medium 0.605

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 165cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

69.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.480

79.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

71.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.440

82.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

67.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.470

71.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

72.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.530

67.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.510

80.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.560

76.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

66.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.390

78.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

73.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.460

58.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

78.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.600

77.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Edwards: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  McGrail: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.460

12.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.360

Out Boxer

42.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.720

28.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

8.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.410

10.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.480

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

8.0 Edwards Confidence Low 0.320

12.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Advantage Edwards Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  McGrail Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.560

67.0 McGrail Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Edwards Confidence Medium 0.560

33.0 McGrail Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Edwards

66.67 McGrail

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Edwards

0 McGrail

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Edwards

66.67 McGrail

Opponent Rating Last 3

57.39 Edwards

64.8 McGrail

Trend Score Last 5

70 Edwards

80 McGrail

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Edwards

78.79 McGrail

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

12.5 Edwards

27.27 McGrail

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Edwards

66.67 McGrail

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.39 Edwards

64.8 McGrail

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Edwards

80 McGrail

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Edwards stays in class.

McGrail moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Edwards.

Advantage: Edwards

Reach vs Height Delta

Edwards reach: 165.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: -5.0cm

McGrail reach: 165.0cm height: 170.0cm delta: -5.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Edwards advantage against orthodox: 58.0

McGrail advantage against orthodox: 67.0

Interaction: medium advantage McGrail.

Advantage: McGrail

Style Interaction

Edwards style: Out Boxer

McGrail style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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