Rodrigo Ruiz vs Sam Goodman

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2026-04-05

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Ruiz vs Goodman 05 Apr 2026 Result: Goodman Historical Pick 96.81% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Sam Goodman (U D)

Model pick Sam Goodman 96.81%

Prediction result Correct

Ruiz odds 7.5000

Goodman odds 1.1176

Ruiz implied 13.33%

Goodman implied 89.48%

Pick odds 1.1176

Pick implied 89.48%

Expected return 1.0819

ROI 8.19%

Edge 7.33%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:44 UTC

Fighter details

Rodrigo Ruiz

Score 7.85 · 20-1-0 (0 KO)

Full name Rodrigo Fabian Ruiz

Age 25 · Rank #590 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R N/A / N/A · AR

Sam Goodman

Score 67.54 · 22-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Sam Goodman

Age 27 · Rank #138 · Confidence Medium 0.645

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 169cm · AU

Rodrigo Ruiz

Full name: Rodrigo Fabian Ruiz
Age: 25
Fighter rank: #590
Current model score: 7.85
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: N/A / N/A
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 20-1-0 (0 KO)

05 Apr 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Goodman

Historical

3% Ruiz

97% Goodman

Fight result: Sam Goodman (U D)
Model pick: Sam Goodman 96.81%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 96.81%
Market odds: 1.1176
Implied probability: 89.48%
Expected ROI (1u): 8.19%
Value edge: 7.33%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:44 UTC

Sam Goodman

Full name: Sam Goodman
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #138
Current model score: 67.54
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.645
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 169cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 22-1-0 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

58.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

77.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

74.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

66.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

79.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

80.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.690

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

81.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

75.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

72.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

83.0 Goodman Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Ruiz: vs Goodman: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

12.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.540

Out Boxer

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

38.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

7.0 Goodman Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

31.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

12.0 Goodman Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Advantage Ruiz Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Goodman Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

42.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

N/A Ruiz Confidence No Data

58.0 Goodman Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Ruiz

66.67 Goodman

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Ruiz

0 Goodman

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Ruiz

100 Goodman

Opponent Rating Last 3

49 Ruiz

63.89 Goodman

Trend Score Last 5

80 Ruiz

80 Goodman

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Ruiz

83.33 Goodman

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Ruiz

20 Goodman

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Ruiz

100 Goodman

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

49 Ruiz

63.89 Goodman

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Ruiz

90 Goodman

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ruiz stays in class.

Goodman moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Ruiz.

Advantage: Ruiz

Height Reach Delta

Ruiz height: N/A reach: N/A

Goodman height: 169.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Ruiz vs orthodox: N/A

Goodman vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Ruiz style:

Goodman style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral